Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project a tight range of 9–13°C for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 8 at Incheon International Airport station, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 12°C (29%) and nearby outcomes. This consensus reflects recent cooler-than-normal early May conditions, including an observed low near 8°C on May 5 amid lingering northerly flows, balanced against a spring warming trend with average historical minima around 11–12°C. Key differentiators include overnight cloud cover inhibiting radiative cooling versus clear skies and light winds enabling sharper drops; model ensembles show modest spread due to these sensitivities. Updated KMA advisories and model runs expected by May 7 morning may refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 8 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 8 de mayo?
10°C 27%
12°C 15%
11°C 13%
13°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
18%
10°C
27%
11°C
24%
12°C
25%
13°C
11%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C o más
1%
10°C 27%
12°C 15%
11°C 13%
13°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
6°C o menos
$95 Vol.
1%
7°C
$90 Vol.
1%
8°C
$49 Vol.
1%
9°C
$19 Vol.
18%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$8 Vol.
24%
12°C
$18 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$30 Vol.
3%
15°C
$66 Vol.
1%
16°C o más
$656 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project a tight range of 9–13°C for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 8 at Incheon International Airport station, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 12°C (29%) and nearby outcomes. This consensus reflects recent cooler-than-normal early May conditions, including an observed low near 8°C on May 5 amid lingering northerly flows, balanced against a spring warming trend with average historical minima around 11–12°C. Key differentiators include overnight cloud cover inhibiting radiative cooling versus clear skies and light winds enabling sharper drops; model ensembles show modest spread due to these sensitivities. Updated KMA advisories and model runs expected by May 7 morning may refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,031Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project a tight range of 9–13°C for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 8 at Incheon International Airport station, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 12°C (29%) and nearby outcomes. This consensus reflects recent cooler-than-normal early May conditions, including an observed low near 8°C on May 5 amid lingering northerly flows, balanced against a spring warming trend with average historical minima around 11–12°C. Key differentiators include overnight cloud cover inhibiting radiative cooling versus clear skies and light winds enabling sharper drops; model ensembles show modest spread due to these sensitivities. Updated KMA advisories and model runs expected by May 7 morning may refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,031Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF project a tight range of 9–13°C for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 8 at Incheon International Airport station, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 12°C (29%) and nearby outcomes. This consensus reflects recent cooler-than-normal early May conditions, including an observed low near 8°C on May 5 amid lingering northerly flows, balanced against a spring warming trend with average historical minima around 11–12°C. Key differentiators include overnight cloud cover inhibiting radiative cooling versus clear skies and light winds enabling sharper drops; model ensembles show modest spread due to these sensitivities. Updated KMA advisories and model runs expected by May 7 morning may refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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