Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38.5% implied probability for London's highest temperature reaching 14°C on May 6, closely followed by 13°C at 28.5% and 15°C at 20.5%, reflecting the latest Met Office forecasts updated early May 5 showing maximums of 14–15°C amid cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northerly winds gusting to 23 mph. This cooler outlook follows a recent shift from warmer early May conditions—driven by retreating high pressure—to Atlantic low influence bringing chillier air masses, with feels-like temperatures around 12°C. BBC Weather aligns at 14°C under light cloud. Climatological May highs average 17°C, but model ensembles indicate high uncertainty from variable cloud cover and shower timing; official Heathrow or City Airport observations will resolve tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on May 6?
Highest temperature in London on May 6?
14°C 37%
13°C 31%
15°C 22%
12°C 6%
NUEVO
$26,598 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,598 Vol.
6 may 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
31%
14°C
37%
15°C
22%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 37%
13°C 31%
15°C 22%
12°C 6%
NUEVO
$26,598 Vol.
NUEVO
$26,598 Vol.
6 may 2026
9°C or below
$3,450 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,998 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$3,210 Vol.
1%
12°C
$3,121 Vol.
6%
13°C
$1,910 Vol.
31%
14°C
$1,902 Vol.
37%
15°C
$2,769 Vol.
22%
16°C
$2,385 Vol.
6%
17°C
$2,250 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,519 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$2,092 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38.5% implied probability for London's highest temperature reaching 14°C on May 6, closely followed by 13°C at 28.5% and 15°C at 20.5%, reflecting the latest Met Office forecasts updated early May 5 showing maximums of 14–15°C amid cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northerly winds gusting to 23 mph. This cooler outlook follows a recent shift from warmer early May conditions—driven by retreating high pressure—to Atlantic low influence bringing chillier air masses, with feels-like temperatures around 12°C. BBC Weather aligns at 14°C under light cloud. Climatological May highs average 17°C, but model ensembles indicate high uncertainty from variable cloud cover and shower timing; official Heathrow or City Airport observations will resolve tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volumen
$26,598Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38.5% implied probability for London's highest temperature reaching 14°C on May 6, closely followed by 13°C at 28.5% and 15°C at 20.5%, reflecting the latest Met Office forecasts updated early May 5 showing maximums of 14–15°C amid cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northerly winds gusting to 23 mph. This cooler outlook follows a recent shift from warmer early May conditions—driven by retreating high pressure—to Atlantic low influence bringing chillier air masses, with feels-like temperatures around 12°C. BBC Weather aligns at 14°C under light cloud. Climatological May highs average 17°C, but model ensembles indicate high uncertainty from variable cloud cover and shower timing; official Heathrow or City Airport observations will resolve tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$26,598Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38.5% implied probability for London's highest temperature reaching 14°C on May 6, closely followed by 13°C at 28.5% and 15°C at 20.5%, reflecting the latest Met Office forecasts updated early May 5 showing maximums of 14–15°C amid cloudy skies, light showers possible, and northerly winds gusting to 23 mph. This cooler outlook follows a recent shift from warmer early May conditions—driven by retreating high pressure—to Atlantic low influence bringing chillier air masses, with feels-like temperatures around 12°C. BBC Weather aligns at 14°C under light cloud. Climatological May highs average 17°C, but model ensembles indicate high uncertainty from variable cloud cover and shower timing; official Heathrow or City Airport observations will resolve tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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