Latest ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 6 at 25-27°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds of 10-20 km/h, driving trader consensus toward the tightly clustered 24°C (25.5%) and 25°C (32.5%) outcomes. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF ensembles leaning cooler due to enhanced sea breeze moderation and potential afternoon high clouds reducing insolation, versus GFS favoring slightly more heating—against a May climatological baseline of 24-26°C highs at the official Xujiahui station. Inherent uncertainty arises from diurnal boundary layer evolution and urban heat island effects; watch China Meteorological Administration updates this evening for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
25°C 39%
24°C 28%
26°C 15.7%
23°C 7%
NUEVO
$33,519 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,519 Vol.
6 may 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
28%
25°C
39%
26°C
16%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 39%
24°C 28%
26°C 15.7%
23°C 7%
NUEVO
$33,519 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,519 Vol.
6 may 2026
19°C or below
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,603 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,959 Vol.
1%
22°C
$6,114 Vol.
3%
23°C
$2,785 Vol.
7%
24°C
$2,398 Vol.
28%
25°C
$1,498 Vol.
39%
26°C
$1,819 Vol.
16%
27°C
$4,439 Vol.
7%
28°C
$1,712 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$5,049 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 6 at 25-27°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds of 10-20 km/h, driving trader consensus toward the tightly clustered 24°C (25.5%) and 25°C (32.5%) outcomes. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF ensembles leaning cooler due to enhanced sea breeze moderation and potential afternoon high clouds reducing insolation, versus GFS favoring slightly more heating—against a May climatological baseline of 24-26°C highs at the official Xujiahui station. Inherent uncertainty arises from diurnal boundary layer evolution and urban heat island effects; watch China Meteorological Administration updates this evening for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Volumen
$33,519Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 6 at 25-27°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds of 10-20 km/h, driving trader consensus toward the tightly clustered 24°C (25.5%) and 25°C (32.5%) outcomes. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF ensembles leaning cooler due to enhanced sea breeze moderation and potential afternoon high clouds reducing insolation, versus GFS favoring slightly more heating—against a May climatological baseline of 24-26°C highs at the official Xujiahui station. Inherent uncertainty arises from diurnal boundary layer evolution and urban heat island effects; watch China Meteorological Administration updates this evening for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,519Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project Shanghai's highest temperature on May 6 at 25-27°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds of 10-20 km/h, driving trader consensus toward the tightly clustered 24°C (25.5%) and 25°C (32.5%) outcomes. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF ensembles leaning cooler due to enhanced sea breeze moderation and potential afternoon high clouds reducing insolation, versus GFS favoring slightly more heating—against a May climatological baseline of 24-26°C highs at the official Xujiahui station. Inherent uncertainty arises from diurnal boundary layer evolution and urban heat island effects; watch China Meteorological Administration updates this evening for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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