Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Miami International Airport's lowest temperature on May 5 around 73-76°F, with 2-3°F spreads explaining the near-tie among 72-77°F bins at 21-21.5% implied probabilities. Southerly winds of 5-10 mph and partly cloudy skies curb radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects at the airport add 1-2°F warmth above early-May climatological norms of 72°F, under a stable high-pressure ridge. Differentiation hinges on overnight cloud variability—thicker cover trapping heat for 76°F+ versus clearer intervals dipping to 72°F—amid minimal changes in the past 24 hours. Watch 12z model runs and afternoon NWS revisions for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 5 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 5 de mayo?
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 18%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 may 2026
67°F o menos
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 18%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 may 2026
67°F o menos
$5 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$1 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$23 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$46 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$20 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$65 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$23 Vol.
<1%
86°F o más
$23 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Miami International Airport's lowest temperature on May 5 around 73-76°F, with 2-3°F spreads explaining the near-tie among 72-77°F bins at 21-21.5% implied probabilities. Southerly winds of 5-10 mph and partly cloudy skies curb radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects at the airport add 1-2°F warmth above early-May climatological norms of 72°F, under a stable high-pressure ridge. Differentiation hinges on overnight cloud variability—thicker cover trapping heat for 76°F+ versus clearer intervals dipping to 72°F—amid minimal changes in the past 24 hours. Watch 12z model runs and afternoon NWS revisions for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$227Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Miami International Airport's lowest temperature on May 5 around 73-76°F, with 2-3°F spreads explaining the near-tie among 72-77°F bins at 21-21.5% implied probabilities. Southerly winds of 5-10 mph and partly cloudy skies curb radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects at the airport add 1-2°F warmth above early-May climatological norms of 72°F, under a stable high-pressure ridge. Differentiation hinges on overnight cloud variability—thicker cover trapping heat for 76°F+ versus clearer intervals dipping to 72°F—amid minimal changes in the past 24 hours. Watch 12z model runs and afternoon NWS revisions for potential shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$227Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF, which project Miami International Airport's lowest temperature on May 5 around 73-76°F, with 2-3°F spreads explaining the near-tie among 72-77°F bins at 21-21.5% implied probabilities. Southerly winds of 5-10 mph and partly cloudy skies curb radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects at the airport add 1-2°F warmth above early-May climatological norms of 72°F, under a stable high-pressure ridge. Differentiation hinges on overnight cloud variability—thicker cover trapping heat for 76°F+ versus clearer intervals dipping to 72°F—amid minimal changes in the past 24 hours. Watch 12z model runs and afternoon NWS revisions for potential shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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