Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting New York City's high temperature on May 3 in the 58-63°F range, with outcomes tightly clustered due to a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool Canadian air following late April's cold fronts that plunged highs into the 50s after mid-month heat spikes above 90°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and timing of any lingering showers, which could cap peaks at 58-59°F, versus clearer skies allowing 62-63°F; sea breezes may moderate coastal readings at Central Park. Climatological May 3 normals hover near 65°F, but El Niño emergence favors below-average conditions. Watch NWS updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 3?
60-61°F 31%
58-59°F 26%
56-57°F 17%
62-63°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 31%
58-59°F 26%
56-57°F 17%
62-63°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
53°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
6%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
17%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$14 Vol.
31%
62-63°F
$11 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$10 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
1%
72°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting New York City's high temperature on May 3 in the 58-63°F range, with outcomes tightly clustered due to a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool Canadian air following late April's cold fronts that plunged highs into the 50s after mid-month heat spikes above 90°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and timing of any lingering showers, which could cap peaks at 58-59°F, versus clearer skies allowing 62-63°F; sea breezes may moderate coastal readings at Central Park. Climatological May 3 normals hover near 65°F, but El Niño emergence favors below-average conditions. Watch NWS updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$55Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting New York City's high temperature on May 3 in the 58-63°F range, with outcomes tightly clustered due to a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool Canadian air following late April's cold fronts that plunged highs into the 50s after mid-month heat spikes above 90°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and timing of any lingering showers, which could cap peaks at 58-59°F, versus clearer skies allowing 62-63°F; sea breezes may moderate coastal readings at Central Park. Climatological May 3 normals hover near 65°F, but El Niño emergence favors below-average conditions. Watch NWS updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$55Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting New York City's high temperature on May 3 in the 58-63°F range, with outcomes tightly clustered due to a persistent upper-level trough ushering cool Canadian air following late April's cold fronts that plunged highs into the 50s after mid-month heat spikes above 90°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover and timing of any lingering showers, which could cap peaks at 58-59°F, versus clearer skies allowing 62-63°F; sea breezes may moderate coastal readings at Central Park. Climatological May 3 normals hover near 65°F, but El Niño emergence favors below-average conditions. Watch NWS updates and new 12Z model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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