Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 14°C (40.5%), 15°C (41.0%), and 16°C (41.0%) for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 6 at Incheon International Airport station, highlighting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty typical of spring nocturnal minima. Korea Meteorological Administration's latest terminal aerodrome forecast projects clear skies overnight May 5–6 with temperatures holding near 12°C under light southerly winds (8 gusting 25 knots), fostering radiative cooling but limited by potential boundary layer mixing. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted high-cloud cover, wind intensification overnight, or dew point effects on inversion strength, where 1–2°C spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and local model ensembles tip outcomes between these bins. Historical early-May lows average 11–13°C; watch KMA updates every 6–12 hours for refinements ahead of pre-dawn minimum around 05:00 local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 6 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 6 de mayo?
12°C 35%
11°C 33%
10°C 30%
9°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
10%
10°C
30%
11°C
33%
12°C
31%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C o más
1%
12°C 35%
11°C 33%
10°C 30%
9°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
7°C o menos
$15 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$66 Vol.
2%
9°C
$54 Vol.
10%
10°C
$0 Vol.
30%
11°C
$17 Vol.
33%
12°C
$13 Vol.
31%
13°C
$30 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$65 Vol.
3%
16°C
$33 Vol.
1%
17°C o más
$168 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 14°C (40.5%), 15°C (41.0%), and 16°C (41.0%) for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 6 at Incheon International Airport station, highlighting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty typical of spring nocturnal minima. Korea Meteorological Administration's latest terminal aerodrome forecast projects clear skies overnight May 5–6 with temperatures holding near 12°C under light southerly winds (8 gusting 25 knots), fostering radiative cooling but limited by potential boundary layer mixing. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted high-cloud cover, wind intensification overnight, or dew point effects on inversion strength, where 1–2°C spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and local model ensembles tip outcomes between these bins. Historical early-May lows average 11–13°C; watch KMA updates every 6–12 hours for refinements ahead of pre-dawn minimum around 05:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$462Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 14°C (40.5%), 15°C (41.0%), and 16°C (41.0%) for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 6 at Incheon International Airport station, highlighting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty typical of spring nocturnal minima. Korea Meteorological Administration's latest terminal aerodrome forecast projects clear skies overnight May 5–6 with temperatures holding near 12°C under light southerly winds (8 gusting 25 knots), fostering radiative cooling but limited by potential boundary layer mixing. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted high-cloud cover, wind intensification overnight, or dew point effects on inversion strength, where 1–2°C spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and local model ensembles tip outcomes between these bins. Historical early-May lows average 11–13°C; watch KMA updates every 6–12 hours for refinements ahead of pre-dawn minimum around 05:00 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$462Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 14°C (40.5%), 15°C (41.0%), and 16°C (41.0%) for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 6 at Incheon International Airport station, highlighting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty typical of spring nocturnal minima. Korea Meteorological Administration's latest terminal aerodrome forecast projects clear skies overnight May 5–6 with temperatures holding near 12°C under light southerly winds (8 gusting 25 knots), fostering radiative cooling but limited by potential boundary layer mixing. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted high-cloud cover, wind intensification overnight, or dew point effects on inversion strength, where 1–2°C spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and local model ensembles tip outcomes between these bins. Historical early-May lows average 11–13°C; watch KMA updates every 6–12 hours for refinements ahead of pre-dawn minimum around 05:00 local time.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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