Met Office forecasts for London Heathrow, the likely resolution site, indicate a minimum temperature around 5-6°C on May 6 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring outcomes in the 5-8°C range at 18-22% implied probabilities. However, tight clustering across 3°C or below (25%) to 13°C or higher (25%) reflects model ensemble spread, where clearer skies could enable stronger radiative cooling to sub-5°C lows—common in early May under high-pressure influence—while persistent low cloud or Atlantic moisture might trap heat, pushing minima toward 10°C+. Recent 48-hour updates show stable but uncertain steering patterns amid neutral ENSO conditions; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts in boundary layer stability and cloud forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 6 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 6 de mayo?
8°C 36%
9°C 34%
10°C 16%
7°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
3°C o menos
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
3%
6°C
6%
7°C
14%
8°C
24%
9°C
34%
10°C
20%
11°C
7%
12°C
<1%
13°C o más
<1%
8°C 36%
9°C 34%
10°C 16%
7°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
3°C o menos
$15 Vol.
1%
4°C
$31 Vol.
1%
5°C
$17 Vol.
3%
6°C
$36 Vol.
6%
7°C
$46 Vol.
14%
8°C
$121 Vol.
24%
9°C
$25 Vol.
34%
10°C
$6 Vol.
20%
11°C
$56 Vol.
7%
12°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
13°C o más
$178 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts for London Heathrow, the likely resolution site, indicate a minimum temperature around 5-6°C on May 6 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring outcomes in the 5-8°C range at 18-22% implied probabilities. However, tight clustering across 3°C or below (25%) to 13°C or higher (25%) reflects model ensemble spread, where clearer skies could enable stronger radiative cooling to sub-5°C lows—common in early May under high-pressure influence—while persistent low cloud or Atlantic moisture might trap heat, pushing minima toward 10°C+. Recent 48-hour updates show stable but uncertain steering patterns amid neutral ENSO conditions; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts in boundary layer stability and cloud forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$641Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts for London Heathrow, the likely resolution site, indicate a minimum temperature around 5-6°C on May 6 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring outcomes in the 5-8°C range at 18-22% implied probabilities. However, tight clustering across 3°C or below (25%) to 13°C or higher (25%) reflects model ensemble spread, where clearer skies could enable stronger radiative cooling to sub-5°C lows—common in early May under high-pressure influence—while persistent low cloud or Atlantic moisture might trap heat, pushing minima toward 10°C+. Recent 48-hour updates show stable but uncertain steering patterns amid neutral ENSO conditions; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts in boundary layer stability and cloud forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$641Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts for London Heathrow, the likely resolution site, indicate a minimum temperature around 5-6°C on May 6 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring outcomes in the 5-8°C range at 18-22% implied probabilities. However, tight clustering across 3°C or below (25%) to 13°C or higher (25%) reflects model ensemble spread, where clearer skies could enable stronger radiative cooling to sub-5°C lows—common in early May under high-pressure influence—while persistent low cloud or Atlantic moisture might trap heat, pushing minima toward 10°C+. Recent 48-hour updates show stable but uncertain steering patterns amid neutral ENSO conditions; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for shifts in boundary layer stability and cloud forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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