Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on May 4 at 27-28°C under high-pressure ridging and southerly flow, driving the even trader consensus across 25-29°C outcomes and low odds for extremes. Recent cooler highs of 22-23°C on May 1-2, influenced by lingering cloud cover and frontal passages typical of early May spring variability, have shifted as models show convective clearing and increased insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in peak daytime heating timing, boundary layer mixing, and any residual urban aerosols, yielding a 2-3°C spread amid climatological averages near 26°C. Updated 12z runs from NOAA and ECMWF today could narrow uncertainty before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
27°C 25%
26°C 24%
25°C 24%
28°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
24°C or below
5%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
25%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
27°C 25%
26°C 24%
25°C 24%
28°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
24°C or below
$200 Vol.
5%
25°C
$3 Vol.
24%
26°C
$5 Vol.
24%
27°C
$30 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$26 Vol.
1%
33°C
$16 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on May 4 at 27-28°C under high-pressure ridging and southerly flow, driving the even trader consensus across 25-29°C outcomes and low odds for extremes. Recent cooler highs of 22-23°C on May 1-2, influenced by lingering cloud cover and frontal passages typical of early May spring variability, have shifted as models show convective clearing and increased insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in peak daytime heating timing, boundary layer mixing, and any residual urban aerosols, yielding a 2-3°C spread amid climatological averages near 26°C. Updated 12z runs from NOAA and ECMWF today could narrow uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$297Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on May 4 at 27-28°C under high-pressure ridging and southerly flow, driving the even trader consensus across 25-29°C outcomes and low odds for extremes. Recent cooler highs of 22-23°C on May 1-2, influenced by lingering cloud cover and frontal passages typical of early May spring variability, have shifted as models show convective clearing and increased insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in peak daytime heating timing, boundary layer mixing, and any residual urban aerosols, yielding a 2-3°C spread amid climatological averages near 26°C. Updated 12z runs from NOAA and ECMWF today could narrow uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$297Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing Capital International Airport's highest temperature on May 4 at 27-28°C under high-pressure ridging and southerly flow, driving the even trader consensus across 25-29°C outcomes and low odds for extremes. Recent cooler highs of 22-23°C on May 1-2, influenced by lingering cloud cover and frontal passages typical of early May spring variability, have shifted as models show convective clearing and increased insolation. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in peak daytime heating timing, boundary layer mixing, and any residual urban aerosols, yielding a 2-3°C spread amid climatological averages near 26°C. Updated 12z runs from NOAA and ECMWF today could narrow uncertainty before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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