Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 18°C for Buenos Aires on May 3, with tight clustering at 16–19°C reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts two days out. Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles from NOAA and European Centre sources, show a mean high near 17°C amid mild autumn conditions, driven by a weakening subtropical ridge allowing occasional southerly winds and partial cloud cover to cap daytime heating. Climatological averages for early May hover at 18–19°C, but frontal passages introduce variability—northerly flows could push toward 20°C, while stronger cool sectors favor 15–16°C. Watch SMN Argentina's daily updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 3?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 3?
17°C 36%
18°C 31%
19°C 24%
16°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
13%
17°C
31%
18°C
37%
19°C
22%
20°C
7%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 36%
18°C 31%
19°C 24%
16°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 may 2026
12°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$210 Vol.
1%
14°C
$28 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
5%
16°C
$72 Vol.
13%
17°C
$33 Vol.
31%
18°C
$125 Vol.
37%
19°C
$5 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C
$15 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$524 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 18°C for Buenos Aires on May 3, with tight clustering at 16–19°C reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts two days out. Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles from NOAA and European Centre sources, show a mean high near 17°C amid mild autumn conditions, driven by a weakening subtropical ridge allowing occasional southerly winds and partial cloud cover to cap daytime heating. Climatological averages for early May hover at 18–19°C, but frontal passages introduce variability—northerly flows could push toward 20°C, while stronger cool sectors favor 15–16°C. Watch SMN Argentina's daily updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$1,438Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 18°C for Buenos Aires on May 3, with tight clustering at 16–19°C reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts two days out. Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles from NOAA and European Centre sources, show a mean high near 17°C amid mild autumn conditions, driven by a weakening subtropical ridge allowing occasional southerly winds and partial cloud cover to cap daytime heating. Climatological averages for early May hover at 18–19°C, but frontal passages introduce variability—northerly flows could push toward 20°C, while stronger cool sectors favor 15–16°C. Watch SMN Argentina's daily updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,438Fecha de finalización
3 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 18°C for Buenos Aires on May 3, with tight clustering at 16–19°C reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts two days out. Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles from NOAA and European Centre sources, show a mean high near 17°C amid mild autumn conditions, driven by a weakening subtropical ridge allowing occasional southerly winds and partial cloud cover to cap daytime heating. Climatological averages for early May hover at 18–19°C, but frontal passages introduce variability—northerly flows could push toward 20°C, while stronger cool sectors favor 15–16°C. Watch SMN Argentina's daily updates and new model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Aeroparque observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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