National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project an overnight low near 72-74°F on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus toward the 72-75°F outcomes with implied probabilities exceeding 100% combined due to market dynamics. Overcast skies and 50-90% chances of showers and thunderstorms, stemming from a moisture-laden air mass after near-record highs over the May 2-3 weekend, suppress radiative cooling and maintain warmth consistent with May climatological normals around 72°F. Urban heat island effects and coastal sea breezes further limit drops below 72°F. As observations accrue through the day, evolving model ensembles from NOAA could refine probabilities, but current guidance shows tight clustering in the low-to-mid 70s.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 4 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 4 de mayo?
72-73°F 56%
74-75°F 29%
70-71°F 4.0%
68-69°F 2.5%
$17,224 Vol.
$17,224 Vol.
4 may 2026
67°F o menos
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
51%
74-75°F
44%
72-73°F 56%
74-75°F 29%
70-71°F 4.0%
68-69°F 2.5%
$17,224 Vol.
$17,224 Vol.
4 may 2026
67°F o menos
$773 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$399 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$283 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$345 Vol.
51%
74-75°F
$253 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project an overnight low near 72-74°F on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus toward the 72-75°F outcomes with implied probabilities exceeding 100% combined due to market dynamics. Overcast skies and 50-90% chances of showers and thunderstorms, stemming from a moisture-laden air mass after near-record highs over the May 2-3 weekend, suppress radiative cooling and maintain warmth consistent with May climatological normals around 72°F. Urban heat island effects and coastal sea breezes further limit drops below 72°F. As observations accrue through the day, evolving model ensembles from NOAA could refine probabilities, but current guidance shows tight clustering in the low-to-mid 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$17,224Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project an overnight low near 72-74°F on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus toward the 72-75°F outcomes with implied probabilities exceeding 100% combined due to market dynamics. Overcast skies and 50-90% chances of showers and thunderstorms, stemming from a moisture-laden air mass after near-record highs over the May 2-3 weekend, suppress radiative cooling and maintain warmth consistent with May climatological normals around 72°F. Urban heat island effects and coastal sea breezes further limit drops below 72°F. As observations accrue through the day, evolving model ensembles from NOAA could refine probabilities, but current guidance shows tight clustering in the low-to-mid 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,224Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport project an overnight low near 72-74°F on May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus toward the 72-75°F outcomes with implied probabilities exceeding 100% combined due to market dynamics. Overcast skies and 50-90% chances of showers and thunderstorms, stemming from a moisture-laden air mass after near-record highs over the May 2-3 weekend, suppress radiative cooling and maintain warmth consistent with May climatological normals around 72°F. Urban heat island effects and coastal sea breezes further limit drops below 72°F. As observations accrue through the day, evolving model ensembles from NOAA could refine probabilities, but current guidance shows tight clustering in the low-to-mid 70s.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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