Latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Moscow's May 8 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, explaining the tight trader consensus with 17°C or higher at 28%, 15°C at 23.5%, and 16°C at 22.5%. Over the past 24 hours, model updates reflect a mild cooling trend from prior days' 20-22°C highs, driven by a low-pressure system advancing from the northwest, introducing cooler air advection and increased cloudiness that could cap peaks at 15-16°C if precipitation timing aligns unfavorably. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and solar insolation variability; new 12Z runs expected today may sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 8?
17°C or higher 48%
16°C 36%
15°C 15%
14°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
7%
15°C
15%
16°C
29%
17°C or higher
48%
17°C or higher 48%
16°C 36%
15°C 15%
14°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
7°C or below
$561 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$683 Vol.
1%
9°C
$349 Vol.
1%
10°C
$476 Vol.
1%
11°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$82 Vol.
3%
13°C
$634 Vol.
4%
14°C
$705 Vol.
7%
15°C
$179 Vol.
15%
16°C
$143 Vol.
29%
17°C or higher
$410 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Moscow's May 8 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, explaining the tight trader consensus with 17°C or higher at 28%, 15°C at 23.5%, and 16°C at 22.5%. Over the past 24 hours, model updates reflect a mild cooling trend from prior days' 20-22°C highs, driven by a low-pressure system advancing from the northwest, introducing cooler air advection and increased cloudiness that could cap peaks at 15-16°C if precipitation timing aligns unfavorably. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and solar insolation variability; new 12Z runs expected today may sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$4,417Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Moscow's May 8 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, explaining the tight trader consensus with 17°C or higher at 28%, 15°C at 23.5%, and 16°C at 22.5%. Over the past 24 hours, model updates reflect a mild cooling trend from prior days' 20-22°C highs, driven by a low-pressure system advancing from the northwest, introducing cooler air advection and increased cloudiness that could cap peaks at 15-16°C if precipitation timing aligns unfavorably. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and solar insolation variability; new 12Z runs expected today may sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,417Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Moscow's May 8 high temperature clustering around 16-18°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, explaining the tight trader consensus with 17°C or higher at 28%, 15°C at 23.5%, and 16°C at 22.5%. Over the past 24 hours, model updates reflect a mild cooling trend from prior days' 20-22°C highs, driven by a low-pressure system advancing from the northwest, introducing cooler air advection and increased cloudiness that could cap peaks at 15-16°C if precipitation timing aligns unfavorably. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and solar insolation variability; new 12Z runs expected today may sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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