Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued May 4, pegs Toronto's May 6 high at 13°C under cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward low teens amid a cool upper-level trough suppressing temperatures below the 17°C seasonal norm. Current model-implied odds reflect this, with 12°C (29%) edging 13°C (20.5%) and 11°C (13.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud cover thickness and shower timing, which could limit daytime heating via reduced insolation. Northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h post-frontal passage add mixing, potentially capping peaks; historical May early highs average 15–16°C but analogs show 1–2°C variability from precip. New hourly updates and overnight GFS/ECMWF runs expected to refine spreads before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 6?
11°C 33%
12°C 30%
10°C 15%
13°C 12%
NUEVO
$13,062 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,062 Vol.
6 may 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
15%
11°C
33%
12°C
30%
13°C
12%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 33%
12°C 30%
10°C 15%
13°C 12%
NUEVO
$13,062 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,062 Vol.
6 may 2026
9°C or below
$2,108 Vol.
4%
10°C
$813 Vol.
15%
11°C
$637 Vol.
33%
12°C
$628 Vol.
30%
13°C
$750 Vol.
12%
14°C
$748 Vol.
6%
15°C
$1,236 Vol.
2%
16°C
$2,741 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,068 Vol.
1%
18°C
$919 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued May 4, pegs Toronto's May 6 high at 13°C under cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward low teens amid a cool upper-level trough suppressing temperatures below the 17°C seasonal norm. Current model-implied odds reflect this, with 12°C (29%) edging 13°C (20.5%) and 11°C (13.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud cover thickness and shower timing, which could limit daytime heating via reduced insolation. Northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h post-frontal passage add mixing, potentially capping peaks; historical May early highs average 15–16°C but analogs show 1–2°C variability from precip. New hourly updates and overnight GFS/ECMWF runs expected to refine spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
Volumen
$13,062Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued May 4, pegs Toronto's May 6 high at 13°C under cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward low teens amid a cool upper-level trough suppressing temperatures below the 17°C seasonal norm. Current model-implied odds reflect this, with 12°C (29%) edging 13°C (20.5%) and 11°C (13.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud cover thickness and shower timing, which could limit daytime heating via reduced insolation. Northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h post-frontal passage add mixing, potentially capping peaks; historical May early highs average 15–16°C but analogs show 1–2°C variability from precip. New hourly updates and overnight GFS/ECMWF runs expected to refine spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,062Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued May 4, pegs Toronto's May 6 high at 13°C under cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward low teens amid a cool upper-level trough suppressing temperatures below the 17°C seasonal norm. Current model-implied odds reflect this, with 12°C (29%) edging 13°C (20.5%) and 11°C (13.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud cover thickness and shower timing, which could limit daytime heating via reduced insolation. Northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h post-frontal passage add mixing, potentially capping peaks; historical May early highs average 15–16°C but analogs show 1–2°C variability from precip. New hourly updates and overnight GFS/ECMWF runs expected to refine spreads before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes