Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Tel Aviv's May 9 highest temperature, with 27°C slightly leading at 23% implied probability amid 25–29°C outcomes dominating over 90% volume, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in this range under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Following cooler early-May highs (21–22°C on May 5–6), subsidence and clear skies are fostering a warming trend, though coastal sea breezes may cap intensities near 25–26°C per cooler ECMWF runs, while GFS suggests potential for 28–29°C on sunnier scenarios. Diurnal variations and minor onshore flow discrepancies account for the clustered odds; monitor IMS evening updates and 00Z model refreshes for shifts before resolution at the official Tel Aviv station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
28°C 37%
27°C 24%
26°C 10%
29°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
25%
28°C
37%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 37%
27°C 24%
26°C 10%
29°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
21°C or below
$57 Vol.
1%
22°C
$22 Vol.
1%
23°C
$227 Vol.
1%
24°C
$274 Vol.
1%
25°C
$223 Vol.
3%
26°C
$17 Vol.
10%
27°C
$38 Vol.
25%
28°C
$88 Vol.
37%
29°C
$62 Vol.
6%
30°C
$35 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$67 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Tel Aviv's May 9 highest temperature, with 27°C slightly leading at 23% implied probability amid 25–29°C outcomes dominating over 90% volume, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in this range under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Following cooler early-May highs (21–22°C on May 5–6), subsidence and clear skies are fostering a warming trend, though coastal sea breezes may cap intensities near 25–26°C per cooler ECMWF runs, while GFS suggests potential for 28–29°C on sunnier scenarios. Diurnal variations and minor onshore flow discrepancies account for the clustered odds; monitor IMS evening updates and 00Z model refreshes for shifts before resolution at the official Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$1,110Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Tel Aviv's May 9 highest temperature, with 27°C slightly leading at 23% implied probability amid 25–29°C outcomes dominating over 90% volume, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in this range under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Following cooler early-May highs (21–22°C on May 5–6), subsidence and clear skies are fostering a warming trend, though coastal sea breezes may cap intensities near 25–26°C per cooler ECMWF runs, while GFS suggests potential for 28–29°C on sunnier scenarios. Diurnal variations and minor onshore flow discrepancies account for the clustered odds; monitor IMS evening updates and 00Z model refreshes for shifts before resolution at the official Tel Aviv station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,110Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Tel Aviv's May 9 highest temperature, with 27°C slightly leading at 23% implied probability amid 25–29°C outcomes dominating over 90% volume, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in this range under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Following cooler early-May highs (21–22°C on May 5–6), subsidence and clear skies are fostering a warming trend, though coastal sea breezes may cap intensities near 25–26°C per cooler ECMWF runs, while GFS suggests potential for 28–29°C on sunnier scenarios. Diurnal variations and minor onshore flow discrepancies account for the clustered odds; monitor IMS evening updates and 00Z model refreshes for shifts before resolution at the official Tel Aviv station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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