Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 7, with implied probabilities clustered around 23–26°C amid a 1–3°C spread differentiating outcomes. The Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project highs in this range as a recent cool spell from northerly winds and low pressure eases, giving way to a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and warming over the Levant. Early May climatology supports averages near 25°C, but variability hinges on ridge strength, sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean, and cloud cover—factors showing model divergence in recent 48-hour runs. Watch IMS twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 7?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 7?
24°C 47%
25°C 30%
23°C 15%
26°C 4.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
15%
24°C
47%
25°C
30%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 47%
25°C 30%
23°C 15%
26°C 4.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
18°C or below
$1,275 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$902 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,380 Vol.
1%
22°C
$919 Vol.
2%
23°C
$262 Vol.
15%
24°C
$596 Vol.
47%
25°C
$785 Vol.
30%
26°C
$612 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,054 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$681 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 7, with implied probabilities clustered around 23–26°C amid a 1–3°C spread differentiating outcomes. The Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project highs in this range as a recent cool spell from northerly winds and low pressure eases, giving way to a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and warming over the Levant. Early May climatology supports averages near 25°C, but variability hinges on ridge strength, sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean, and cloud cover—factors showing model divergence in recent 48-hour runs. Watch IMS twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$9,141Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 7, with implied probabilities clustered around 23–26°C amid a 1–3°C spread differentiating outcomes. The Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project highs in this range as a recent cool spell from northerly winds and low pressure eases, giving way to a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and warming over the Levant. Early May climatology supports averages near 25°C, but variability hinges on ridge strength, sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean, and cloud cover—factors showing model divergence in recent 48-hour runs. Watch IMS twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,141Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 7, with implied probabilities clustered around 23–26°C amid a 1–3°C spread differentiating outcomes. The Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project highs in this range as a recent cool spell from northerly winds and low pressure eases, giving way to a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and warming over the Levant. Early May climatology supports averages near 25°C, but variability hinges on ridge strength, sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean, and cloud cover—factors showing model divergence in recent 48-hour runs. Watch IMS twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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