Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 27–29°C at 21% each, reflecting the latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service indicating peak highs in this range under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observations show early May warmth, with a 29°C high on May 2 amid low humidity and clear skies, but models now project a modest cooling to 24–28°C on May 8 due to strengthening northerly winds introducing cooler maritime air and potential mid-level clouds. This 2–3°C spread arises from uncertainties in sea-breeze penetration and diurnal heating rates near Tel Aviv's coast. Watch for IMS updates and new 12Z runs today, as resolution hinges on official Ben Gurion Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 8?
26°C 39%
27°C 35%
28°C 24%
25°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
12%
26°C
33%
27°C
35%
28°C
16%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
3%
26°C 39%
27°C 35%
28°C 24%
25°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
20°C or below
$1,589 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$200 Vol.
1%
23°C
$371 Vol.
1%
24°C
$449 Vol.
5%
25°C
$288 Vol.
12%
26°C
$185 Vol.
33%
27°C
$243 Vol.
35%
28°C
$103 Vol.
16%
29°C
$65 Vol.
7%
30°C or higher
$87 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 27–29°C at 21% each, reflecting the latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service indicating peak highs in this range under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observations show early May warmth, with a 29°C high on May 2 amid low humidity and clear skies, but models now project a modest cooling to 24–28°C on May 8 due to strengthening northerly winds introducing cooler maritime air and potential mid-level clouds. This 2–3°C spread arises from uncertainties in sea-breeze penetration and diurnal heating rates near Tel Aviv's coast. Watch for IMS updates and new 12Z runs today, as resolution hinges on official Ben Gurion Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volumen
$4,021Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 27–29°C at 21% each, reflecting the latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service indicating peak highs in this range under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observations show early May warmth, with a 29°C high on May 2 amid low humidity and clear skies, but models now project a modest cooling to 24–28°C on May 8 due to strengthening northerly winds introducing cooler maritime air and potential mid-level clouds. This 2–3°C spread arises from uncertainties in sea-breeze penetration and diurnal heating rates near Tel Aviv's coast. Watch for IMS updates and new 12Z runs today, as resolution hinges on official Ben Gurion Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,021Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 27–29°C at 21% each, reflecting the latest forecast model ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service indicating peak highs in this range under a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent observations show early May warmth, with a 29°C high on May 2 amid low humidity and clear skies, but models now project a modest cooling to 24–28°C on May 8 due to strengthening northerly winds introducing cooler maritime air and potential mid-level clouds. This 2–3°C spread arises from uncertainties in sea-breeze penetration and diurnal heating rates near Tel Aviv's coast. Watch for IMS updates and new 12Z runs today, as resolution hinges on official Ben Gurion Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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