Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's highest temperature on May 9 reaching the mid-to-upper 60s Fahrenheit, well above the 68°F monthly normal and the 56°F market threshold, under a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and above-normal warmth following recent variable spring conditions. This strong scientific agreement, with minimal spread in 48-hour forecasts, underpins the 98.5% trader consensus on 56°F or higher, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-money bets on reliable short-range projections. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated cold front or persistent low clouds delaying diurnal heating, though current outlooks show low probability; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
56°F or higher 99.6%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
NUEVO
$12,740 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,740 Vol.
9 may 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 99.6%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
NUEVO
$12,740 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,740 Vol.
9 may 2026
37°F or below
$997 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$467 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$461 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$461 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$492 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$492 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$467 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$557 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$871 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$767 Vol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$6,708 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's highest temperature on May 9 reaching the mid-to-upper 60s Fahrenheit, well above the 68°F monthly normal and the 56°F market threshold, under a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and above-normal warmth following recent variable spring conditions. This strong scientific agreement, with minimal spread in 48-hour forecasts, underpins the 98.5% trader consensus on 56°F or higher, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-money bets on reliable short-range projections. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated cold front or persistent low clouds delaying diurnal heating, though current outlooks show low probability; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$12,740Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's highest temperature on May 9 reaching the mid-to-upper 60s Fahrenheit, well above the 68°F monthly normal and the 56°F market threshold, under a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and above-normal warmth following recent variable spring conditions. This strong scientific agreement, with minimal spread in 48-hour forecasts, underpins the 98.5% trader consensus on 56°F or higher, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-money bets on reliable short-range projections. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated cold front or persistent low clouds delaying diurnal heating, though current outlooks show low probability; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,740Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's highest temperature on May 9 reaching the mid-to-upper 60s Fahrenheit, well above the 68°F monthly normal and the 56°F market threshold, under a ridge of high pressure bringing mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and above-normal warmth following recent variable spring conditions. This strong scientific agreement, with minimal spread in 48-hour forecasts, underpins the 98.5% trader consensus on 56°F or higher, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-money bets on reliable short-range projections. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated cold front or persistent low clouds delaying diurnal heating, though current outlooks show low probability; watch NWS updates and 00Z model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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