Latest National Weather Service forecasts from Central Park (KNYC) indicate a high near 65°F on May 9 amid an 80% chance of showers developing after 8 a.m., driving trader consensus toward the low 60s with 62-63°F (37%) edging 60-61°F (31%). This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in precipitation timing and cloud cover under a post-frontal trough, where persistent overcast and onshore flow could cap boundary layer heating by 3-5°F below sunnier scenarios shown in drier model paths. Cooler recent highs (61°F May 7-8) and climatological May norms near 68°F underscore the cool air mass dominance, though afternoon clearing might push toward 64-65°F (9%). New 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS updates expected today could refine odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 9?
60-61°F 32%
62-63°F 28%
58-59°F 17%
64-65°F 10.4%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
1%
70°F or higher
1%
60-61°F 32%
62-63°F 28%
58-59°F 17%
64-65°F 10.4%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
10%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
1%
70°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts from Central Park (KNYC) indicate a high near 65°F on May 9 amid an 80% chance of showers developing after 8 a.m., driving trader consensus toward the low 60s with 62-63°F (37%) edging 60-61°F (31%). This tight clustering reflects uncertainty in precipitation timing and cloud cover under a post-frontal trough, where persistent overcast and onshore flow could cap boundary layer heating by 3-5°F below sunnier scenarios shown in drier model paths. Cooler recent highs (61°F May 7-8) and climatological May norms near 68°F underscore the cool air mass dominance, though afternoon clearing might push toward 64-65°F (9%). New 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS updates expected today could refine odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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