Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's May 9 high temperature, with 25°C or higher edging at 28.5% amid a stalled trough delivering persistent cloud cover and patchy rain over the Pearl River Delta, capping solar insolation below seasonal norms of 28-29°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles cluster daytime peaks at 24-26°C, down from May 7's 29-31°C due to convective showers and sea breeze enhancement suppressing heating. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks favoring 25°C+ versus sustained overcast pushing toward 23-24°C; new model runs expected May 8 could sharpen this, with resolution via official Baiyun Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 9?
25°C or higher 59%
24°C 11%
23°C 6%
22°C 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
59%
25°C or higher 59%
24°C 11%
23°C 6%
22°C 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
15°C or below
$538 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$234 Vol.
1%
19°C
$30 Vol.
1%
20°C
$47 Vol.
1%
21°C
$230 Vol.
2%
22°C
$25 Vol.
3%
23°C
$10 Vol.
11%
24°C
$5 Vol.
14%
25°C or higher
$126 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's May 9 high temperature, with 25°C or higher edging at 28.5% amid a stalled trough delivering persistent cloud cover and patchy rain over the Pearl River Delta, capping solar insolation below seasonal norms of 28-29°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles cluster daytime peaks at 24-26°C, down from May 7's 29-31°C due to convective showers and sea breeze enhancement suppressing heating. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks favoring 25°C+ versus sustained overcast pushing toward 23-24°C; new model runs expected May 8 could sharpen this, with resolution via official Baiyun Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$1,780Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's May 9 high temperature, with 25°C or higher edging at 28.5% amid a stalled trough delivering persistent cloud cover and patchy rain over the Pearl River Delta, capping solar insolation below seasonal norms of 28-29°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles cluster daytime peaks at 24-26°C, down from May 7's 29-31°C due to convective showers and sea breeze enhancement suppressing heating. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks favoring 25°C+ versus sustained overcast pushing toward 23-24°C; new model runs expected May 8 could sharpen this, with resolution via official Baiyun Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,780Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's May 9 high temperature, with 25°C or higher edging at 28.5% amid a stalled trough delivering persistent cloud cover and patchy rain over the Pearl River Delta, capping solar insolation below seasonal norms of 28-29°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates and ECMWF/GFS ensembles cluster daytime peaks at 24-26°C, down from May 7's 29-31°C due to convective showers and sea breeze enhancement suppressing heating. Differentiating factors include afternoon cloud breaks favoring 25°C+ versus sustained overcast pushing toward 23-24°C; new model runs expected May 8 could sharpen this, with resolution via official Baiyun Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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