Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a high of 72°F or higher at 52% implied probability for Los Angeles on May 9, driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast of 82°F under sunny skies, reflecting a sharp warming trend after early May's cool, drizzly marine layer suppressed highs below 70°F. This shift stems from a building upper-level ridge weakening onshore flow and thinning persistent coastal stratus clouds, allowing greater solar heating in the LA basin. However, equal 22.5% odds for 68-69°F and 70-71°F highlight model spread—GFS and ECMWF ensembles varying 5-10°F—and historical May averages near 74°F at downtown USC, the likely resolution station. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs on May 7, as any resurgence of night/morning fog could cap peaks below 72°F.