Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 9 at 23-25°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes as traders weigh inherent forecast uncertainty. A mid-level trough steering cooler, moist air from the north, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limits solar insolation and daytime heating potential—key differentiators between 23°C (thicker clouds, heavier precip) and 25°C (partial clearing). Historical early-May highs average 26°C, but current synoptic pattern favors moderation. New CMA observations and model runs by midday May 8 could sharpen the outlook, potentially shifting odds on exact peak thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 9?
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
25°C 14%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
25°C 14%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
18°C or below
$230 Vol.
1%
19°C
$274 Vol.
1%
20°C
$301 Vol.
1%
21°C
$225 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$6 Vol.
25%
24°C
$6 Vol.
27%
25°C
$20 Vol.
14%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$65 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 9 at 23-25°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes as traders weigh inherent forecast uncertainty. A mid-level trough steering cooler, moist air from the north, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limits solar insolation and daytime heating potential—key differentiators between 23°C (thicker clouds, heavier precip) and 25°C (partial clearing). Historical early-May highs average 26°C, but current synoptic pattern favors moderation. New CMA observations and model runs by midday May 8 could sharpen the outlook, potentially shifting odds on exact peak thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volumen
$1,128Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 9 at 23-25°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes as traders weigh inherent forecast uncertainty. A mid-level trough steering cooler, moist air from the north, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limits solar insolation and daytime heating potential—key differentiators between 23°C (thicker clouds, heavier precip) and 25°C (partial clearing). Historical early-May highs average 26°C, but current synoptic pattern favors moderation. New CMA observations and model runs by midday May 8 could sharpen the outlook, potentially shifting odds on exact peak thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,128Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 9 at 23-25°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes as traders weigh inherent forecast uncertainty. A mid-level trough steering cooler, moist air from the north, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limits solar insolation and daytime heating potential—key differentiators between 23°C (thicker clouds, heavier precip) and 25°C (partial clearing). Historical early-May highs average 26°C, but current synoptic pattern favors moderation. New CMA observations and model runs by midday May 8 could sharpen the outlook, potentially shifting odds on exact peak thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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