The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 22°C for Amsterdam on May 9, featuring light showers alternating with sunshine, 30% sunshine duration, and light southeasterly winds at Beaufort force 3—driving the tight trader consensus with 38.5% implied probabilities each on 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes. This warmer-than-average projection, exceeding May's climatological high of 16-17°C amid a shift from early-month thunderstorms and cool air advection, reflects southerly flow enhancing 2-meter temperatures. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and national guidance, where variable cumulus cloud cover and shower timing introduce 1-2°C uncertainty: fuller sun favors 22°C peaks, while overcast periods cap at 19-20°C. Traders await May 8's refined 12Z model runs and KNMI updates for final positioning, with resolution based on Schiphol Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 9?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 9?
20°C 33%
19°C 31%
21°C 14%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
31%
20°C
33%
21°C
14%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 33%
19°C 31%
21°C 14%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$47 Vol.
2%
18°C
$74 Vol.
6%
19°C
$90 Vol.
31%
20°C
$75 Vol.
33%
21°C
$72 Vol.
14%
22°C
$55 Vol.
8%
23°C
$85 Vol.
3%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 22°C for Amsterdam on May 9, featuring light showers alternating with sunshine, 30% sunshine duration, and light southeasterly winds at Beaufort force 3—driving the tight trader consensus with 38.5% implied probabilities each on 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes. This warmer-than-average projection, exceeding May's climatological high of 16-17°C amid a shift from early-month thunderstorms and cool air advection, reflects southerly flow enhancing 2-meter temperatures. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and national guidance, where variable cumulus cloud cover and shower timing introduce 1-2°C uncertainty: fuller sun favors 22°C peaks, while overcast periods cap at 19-20°C. Traders await May 8's refined 12Z model runs and KNMI updates for final positioning, with resolution based on Schiphol Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volumen
$541Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 22°C for Amsterdam on May 9, featuring light showers alternating with sunshine, 30% sunshine duration, and light southeasterly winds at Beaufort force 3—driving the tight trader consensus with 38.5% implied probabilities each on 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes. This warmer-than-average projection, exceeding May's climatological high of 16-17°C amid a shift from early-month thunderstorms and cool air advection, reflects southerly flow enhancing 2-meter temperatures. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and national guidance, where variable cumulus cloud cover and shower timing introduce 1-2°C uncertainty: fuller sun favors 22°C peaks, while overcast periods cap at 19-20°C. Traders await May 8's refined 12Z model runs and KNMI updates for final positioning, with resolution based on Schiphol Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$541Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 22°C for Amsterdam on May 9, featuring light showers alternating with sunshine, 30% sunshine duration, and light southeasterly winds at Beaufort force 3—driving the tight trader consensus with 38.5% implied probabilities each on 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes. This warmer-than-average projection, exceeding May's climatological high of 16-17°C amid a shift from early-month thunderstorms and cool air advection, reflects southerly flow enhancing 2-meter temperatures. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and national guidance, where variable cumulus cloud cover and shower timing introduce 1-2°C uncertainty: fuller sun favors 22°C peaks, while overcast periods cap at 19-20°C. Traders await May 8's refined 12Z model runs and KNMI updates for final positioning, with resolution based on Schiphol Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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