Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 36°C or higher on May 9, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert for Sindh and above-normal temperature outlook for May 2026, with southern regions facing the strongest anomalies. Recent PMD reports note highs of 37-39°C on May 5 under persistent continental high-pressure ridges and intense solar insolation, conditions expected to continue through May 11 per National Disaster Management Authority advisories, amid dry air masses amplifying pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages hover near 35°C, but current patterns—potentially influenced by emerging El Niño—elevate risks for extremes. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, supporting 35% odds each for 33-35°C peaks; watch PMD's daily updates for model refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 9?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 9?
34°C 35%
36°C or higher 31%
35°C 24%
33°C 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
24%
36°C or higher
31%
34°C 35%
36°C or higher 31%
35°C 24%
33°C 4.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
26°C or below
$539 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$461 Vol.
1%
28°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$127 Vol.
1%
30°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$14 Vol.
1%
32°C
$81 Vol.
1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$6 Vol.
25%
35°C
$0 Vol.
24%
36°C or higher
$26 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 36°C or higher on May 9, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert for Sindh and above-normal temperature outlook for May 2026, with southern regions facing the strongest anomalies. Recent PMD reports note highs of 37-39°C on May 5 under persistent continental high-pressure ridges and intense solar insolation, conditions expected to continue through May 11 per National Disaster Management Authority advisories, amid dry air masses amplifying pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages hover near 35°C, but current patterns—potentially influenced by emerging El Niño—elevate risks for extremes. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, supporting 35% odds each for 33-35°C peaks; watch PMD's daily updates for model refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volumen
$262Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 36°C or higher on May 9, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert for Sindh and above-normal temperature outlook for May 2026, with southern regions facing the strongest anomalies. Recent PMD reports note highs of 37-39°C on May 5 under persistent continental high-pressure ridges and intense solar insolation, conditions expected to continue through May 11 per National Disaster Management Authority advisories, amid dry air masses amplifying pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages hover near 35°C, but current patterns—potentially influenced by emerging El Niño—elevate risks for extremes. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, supporting 35% odds each for 33-35°C peaks; watch PMD's daily updates for model refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$262Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 50% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 36°C or higher on May 9, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) ongoing heatwave alert for Sindh and above-normal temperature outlook for May 2026, with southern regions facing the strongest anomalies. Recent PMD reports note highs of 37-39°C on May 5 under persistent continental high-pressure ridges and intense solar insolation, conditions expected to continue through May 11 per National Disaster Management Authority advisories, amid dry air masses amplifying pre-monsoon heating. Historical May averages hover near 35°C, but current patterns—potentially influenced by emerging El Niño—elevate risks for extremes. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, supporting 35% odds each for 33-35°C peaks; watch PMD's daily updates for model refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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