National Weather Service forecasts and major models like GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's high temperature on May 9 reaching 67-70°F under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, driving the 87% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover, extending a warm early-May pattern that recently shattered 30-year heat records with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Seattle's climatological May 9 maximum averages around 64°F at Sea-Tac Airport, making this above-normal outlook a clear departure. While marine layer influence could cap peaks, trader consensus reflects strong model agreement; watch overnight updates for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
66°F or higher 87%
64-65°F 3.5%
62-63°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66°F or higher
87%
66°F or higher 87%
64-65°F 3.5%
62-63°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66°F or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and major models like GFS and ECMWF project Seattle's high temperature on May 9 reaching 67-70°F under partly sunny skies and light southwest winds, driving the 87% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover, extending a warm early-May pattern that recently shattered 30-year heat records with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Seattle's climatological May 9 maximum averages around 64°F at Sea-Tac Airport, making this above-normal outlook a clear departure. While marine layer influence could cap peaks, trader consensus reflects strong model agreement; watch overnight updates for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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