An ongoing heat wave, or "onda de calor," across central Mexico—per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories—has elevated recent highs in Mexico City to 31–33°C as of May 6, driving trader consensus toward above-seasonal outcomes for May 9. SMN's May 8 forecast calls for 28–30°C maxima amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers, with similar conditions likely persisting under the dominant anticyclonic circulation. At 2,240 meters elevation, Mexico City's climatological May average hovers around 25°C, but dry-season high pressure routinely pushes anomalies higher during such events. Global models like GFS show agreement on warm persistence; monitor SMN's daily briefings for updates as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 9?
24°C or higher 97.1%
23°C 1.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
97%
24°C or higher 97.1%
23°C 1.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
14°C or below
$244 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$40 Vol.
1%
22°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$418 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$648 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.An ongoing heat wave, or "onda de calor," across central Mexico—per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories—has elevated recent highs in Mexico City to 31–33°C as of May 6, driving trader consensus toward above-seasonal outcomes for May 9. SMN's May 8 forecast calls for 28–30°C maxima amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers, with similar conditions likely persisting under the dominant anticyclonic circulation. At 2,240 meters elevation, Mexico City's climatological May average hovers around 25°C, but dry-season high pressure routinely pushes anomalies higher during such events. Global models like GFS show agreement on warm persistence; monitor SMN's daily briefings for updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$1,850Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.An ongoing heat wave, or "onda de calor," across central Mexico—per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories—has elevated recent highs in Mexico City to 31–33°C as of May 6, driving trader consensus toward above-seasonal outcomes for May 9. SMN's May 8 forecast calls for 28–30°C maxima amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers, with similar conditions likely persisting under the dominant anticyclonic circulation. At 2,240 meters elevation, Mexico City's climatological May average hovers around 25°C, but dry-season high pressure routinely pushes anomalies higher during such events. Global models like GFS show agreement on warm persistence; monitor SMN's daily briefings for updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,850Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...An ongoing heat wave, or "onda de calor," across central Mexico—per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories—has elevated recent highs in Mexico City to 31–33°C as of May 6, driving trader consensus toward above-seasonal outcomes for May 9. SMN's May 8 forecast calls for 28–30°C maxima amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers, with similar conditions likely persisting under the dominant anticyclonic circulation. At 2,240 meters elevation, Mexico City's climatological May average hovers around 25°C, but dry-season high pressure routinely pushes anomalies higher during such events. Global models like GFS show agreement on warm persistence; monitor SMN's daily briefings for updates as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes