Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with ARPA Lombardia guidance, place Milan's Linate Airport high temperature on May 9 between 23-25°C, explaining the near-tie among these outcomes at trader-implied odds exceeding 80% combined. Following cooler readings of 16-17°C on May 5-6 amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds, a building high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean is projected to deliver mostly sunny conditions and enhanced daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary-layer stability and afternoon cumulus clouds—ECMWF leans toward 25°C with stronger subsidence, while GFS favors 23-24°C under slightly cooler mid-level air. ARPA Lombardia's next bulletin and 12Z model runs on May 7-8 will clarify resolution odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 9?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 9?
24°C 38%
25°C 28%
23°C 15%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
15%
24°C
38%
25°C
28%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
25°C 28%
23°C 15%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
18°C or below
$411 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$16 Vol.
2%
22°C
$13 Vol.
8%
23°C
$285 Vol.
15%
24°C
$100 Vol.
38%
25°C
$137 Vol.
28%
26°C
$82 Vol.
8%
27°C
$11 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$248 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with ARPA Lombardia guidance, place Milan's Linate Airport high temperature on May 9 between 23-25°C, explaining the near-tie among these outcomes at trader-implied odds exceeding 80% combined. Following cooler readings of 16-17°C on May 5-6 amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds, a building high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean is projected to deliver mostly sunny conditions and enhanced daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary-layer stability and afternoon cumulus clouds—ECMWF leans toward 25°C with stronger subsidence, while GFS favors 23-24°C under slightly cooler mid-level air. ARPA Lombardia's next bulletin and 12Z model runs on May 7-8 will clarify resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volumen
$1,302Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with ARPA Lombardia guidance, place Milan's Linate Airport high temperature on May 9 between 23-25°C, explaining the near-tie among these outcomes at trader-implied odds exceeding 80% combined. Following cooler readings of 16-17°C on May 5-6 amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds, a building high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean is projected to deliver mostly sunny conditions and enhanced daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary-layer stability and afternoon cumulus clouds—ECMWF leans toward 25°C with stronger subsidence, while GFS favors 23-24°C under slightly cooler mid-level air. ARPA Lombardia's next bulletin and 12Z model runs on May 7-8 will clarify resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,302Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with ARPA Lombardia guidance, place Milan's Linate Airport high temperature on May 9 between 23-25°C, explaining the near-tie among these outcomes at trader-implied odds exceeding 80% combined. Following cooler readings of 16-17°C on May 5-6 amid persistent cloud cover and light northerly winds, a building high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean is projected to deliver mostly sunny conditions and enhanced daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary-layer stability and afternoon cumulus clouds—ECMWF leans toward 25°C with stronger subsidence, while GFS favors 23-24°C under slightly cooler mid-level air. ARPA Lombardia's next bulletin and 12Z model runs on May 7-8 will clarify resolution odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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