Current South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Cape Town on May 9, mirroring the tight market-implied odds clustered around 18–21°C as traders weigh ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS. Autumnal positioning favors moderated highs near the 19°C historical May average, driven by cool Benguela Current upwelling and persistent southerly winds fostering sea breezes that cap daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud cover—thicker layers could suppress to 18°C, while clearer intervals might allow 20–21°C—amid recent cloudy, cool conditions from a passing system. New SAWS updates and model runs due overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 9?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 9?
19°C 33%
20°C 30%
18°C 10%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
33%
20°C
30%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 33%
20°C 30%
18°C 10%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
14°C or below
$70 Vol.
1%
15°C
$15 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$2 Vol.
10%
19°C
$16 Vol.
33%
20°C
$9 Vol.
30%
21°C
$7 Vol.
9%
22°C
$10 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Cape Town on May 9, mirroring the tight market-implied odds clustered around 18–21°C as traders weigh ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS. Autumnal positioning favors moderated highs near the 19°C historical May average, driven by cool Benguela Current upwelling and persistent southerly winds fostering sea breezes that cap daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud cover—thicker layers could suppress to 18°C, while clearer intervals might allow 20–21°C—amid recent cloudy, cool conditions from a passing system. New SAWS updates and model runs due overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$138Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Cape Town on May 9, mirroring the tight market-implied odds clustered around 18–21°C as traders weigh ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS. Autumnal positioning favors moderated highs near the 19°C historical May average, driven by cool Benguela Current upwelling and persistent southerly winds fostering sea breezes that cap daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud cover—thicker layers could suppress to 18°C, while clearer intervals might allow 20–21°C—amid recent cloudy, cool conditions from a passing system. New SAWS updates and model runs due overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$138Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts point to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Cape Town on May 9, mirroring the tight market-implied odds clustered around 18–21°C as traders weigh ensemble model spreads from ECMWF and GFS. Autumnal positioning favors moderated highs near the 19°C historical May average, driven by cool Benguela Current upwelling and persistent southerly winds fostering sea breezes that cap daytime peaks. Differentiating factors include variable low-level cloud cover—thicker layers could suppress to 18°C, while clearer intervals might allow 20–21°C—amid recent cloudy, cool conditions from a passing system. New SAWS updates and model runs due overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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