Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Qingdao's highest temperature at Jiaodong International Airport on May 9, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 27–28°C amid diverging model outputs from China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles. Recent variable spring weather—25°C on May 6 following cooler 21°C on May 5 and 17°C on May 3—stems from alternating cold fronts and warm air advection, moderated by Yellow Sea sea breezes that cap coastal peaks. Climatological May highs average 21°C with 5–10°C daily swings possible under high-pressure ridges; cloud cover and wind shear remain key differentiators for outcomes spanning 23–32°C. Updated CMA bulletins and global model runs due in the next 24 hours will likely refine trader sentiment as resolution approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 9?
28°C 16%
27°C 14%
24°C 10%
29°C 9.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
14%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
7%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 16%
27°C 14%
24°C 10%
29°C 9.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 may 2026
22°C or below
$51 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$6 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$5 Vol.
7%
31°C
$5 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Qingdao's highest temperature at Jiaodong International Airport on May 9, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 27–28°C amid diverging model outputs from China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles. Recent variable spring weather—25°C on May 6 following cooler 21°C on May 5 and 17°C on May 3—stems from alternating cold fronts and warm air advection, moderated by Yellow Sea sea breezes that cap coastal peaks. Climatological May highs average 21°C with 5–10°C daily swings possible under high-pressure ridges; cloud cover and wind shear remain key differentiators for outcomes spanning 23–32°C. Updated CMA bulletins and global model runs due in the next 24 hours will likely refine trader sentiment as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$82Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Qingdao's highest temperature at Jiaodong International Airport on May 9, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 27–28°C amid diverging model outputs from China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles. Recent variable spring weather—25°C on May 6 following cooler 21°C on May 5 and 17°C on May 3—stems from alternating cold fronts and warm air advection, moderated by Yellow Sea sea breezes that cap coastal peaks. Climatological May highs average 21°C with 5–10°C daily swings possible under high-pressure ridges; cloud cover and wind shear remain key differentiators for outcomes spanning 23–32°C. Updated CMA bulletins and global model runs due in the next 24 hours will likely refine trader sentiment as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$82Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Qingdao's highest temperature at Jiaodong International Airport on May 9, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 27–28°C amid diverging model outputs from China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS ensembles. Recent variable spring weather—25°C on May 6 following cooler 21°C on May 5 and 17°C on May 3—stems from alternating cold fronts and warm air advection, moderated by Yellow Sea sea breezes that cap coastal peaks. Climatological May highs average 21°C with 5–10°C daily swings possible under high-pressure ridges; cloud cover and wind shear remain key differentiators for outcomes spanning 23–32°C. Updated CMA bulletins and global model runs due in the next 24 hours will likely refine trader sentiment as resolution approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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