Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 24°C (37%) or 23°C (33%) in Milan on May 2, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models amid a high-pressure ridge promoting mild advection of continental air and mostly sunny skies. The slight edge to 24°C stems from recent GFS runs emphasizing peak afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects at Milan's Linate station, where observations often exceed rural models by 1-2°C, while ECMWF shows subtle spread from possible high-cloud veils capping temperatures nearer 23°C. Early May climatology averages 22°C highs, with current boundary layer conditions—light southerlies and low humidity—supporting this modestly warm outlook. New 00Z/12Z model cycles on May 1 will clarify convective potential and refine the peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 2?
24°C 38%
23°C 34%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
NUEVO
$11,827 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,827 Vol.
2 may 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
11%
23°C
34%
24°C
38%
25°C
19%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 38%
23°C 34%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
NUEVO
$11,827 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,827 Vol.
2 may 2026
16°C or below
$1,816 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,138 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,133 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$884 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$901 Vol.
1%
22°C
$474 Vol.
11%
23°C
$1,740 Vol.
34%
24°C
$960 Vol.
38%
25°C
$858 Vol.
19%
26°C or higher
$1,208 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 24°C (37%) or 23°C (33%) in Milan on May 2, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models amid a high-pressure ridge promoting mild advection of continental air and mostly sunny skies. The slight edge to 24°C stems from recent GFS runs emphasizing peak afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects at Milan's Linate station, where observations often exceed rural models by 1-2°C, while ECMWF shows subtle spread from possible high-cloud veils capping temperatures nearer 23°C. Early May climatology averages 22°C highs, with current boundary layer conditions—light southerlies and low humidity—supporting this modestly warm outlook. New 00Z/12Z model cycles on May 1 will clarify convective potential and refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$11,827Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 24°C (37%) or 23°C (33%) in Milan on May 2, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models amid a high-pressure ridge promoting mild advection of continental air and mostly sunny skies. The slight edge to 24°C stems from recent GFS runs emphasizing peak afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects at Milan's Linate station, where observations often exceed rural models by 1-2°C, while ECMWF shows subtle spread from possible high-cloud veils capping temperatures nearer 23°C. Early May climatology averages 22°C highs, with current boundary layer conditions—light southerlies and low humidity—supporting this modestly warm outlook. New 00Z/12Z model cycles on May 1 will clarify convective potential and refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,827Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 24°C (37%) or 23°C (33%) in Milan on May 2, reflecting tight clustering in short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models amid a high-pressure ridge promoting mild advection of continental air and mostly sunny skies. The slight edge to 24°C stems from recent GFS runs emphasizing peak afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects at Milan's Linate station, where observations often exceed rural models by 1-2°C, while ECMWF shows subtle spread from possible high-cloud veils capping temperatures nearer 23°C. Early May climatology averages 22°C highs, with current boundary layer conditions—light southerlies and low humidity—supporting this modestly warm outlook. New 00Z/12Z model cycles on May 1 will clarify convective potential and refine the peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes