Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa International Airport on May 1 clustering tightly at 19-21°C, driving trader consensus with 21°C leading at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C (29.5%) and 20°C (22.5%). ARPA Lombardia's April 30 bulletin anticipates plains maxima of 18-20°C, with a gradual rise into the holiday weekend under building high-pressure influence stabilizing conditions after recent cloudy spells. This alignment reflects spring climatology—May averages near 22°C—and model agreement on mild advection, though short-range uncertainty from cloud breaks or urban heat effects persists. Observational data from the station will resolve amid minimal remaining forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 1?
21°C 47%
22°C 30%
20°C 22%
19°C 6%
NUEVO
$17,866 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,866 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
22%
21°C
47%
22°C
30%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 47%
22°C 30%
20°C 22%
19°C 6%
NUEVO
$17,866 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,866 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,621 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,433 Vol.
1%
19°C
$3,153 Vol.
6%
20°C
$2,568 Vol.
22%
21°C
$2,381 Vol.
47%
22°C
$2,118 Vol.
30%
23°C
$1,421 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$1,508 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa International Airport on May 1 clustering tightly at 19-21°C, driving trader consensus with 21°C leading at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C (29.5%) and 20°C (22.5%). ARPA Lombardia's April 30 bulletin anticipates plains maxima of 18-20°C, with a gradual rise into the holiday weekend under building high-pressure influence stabilizing conditions after recent cloudy spells. This alignment reflects spring climatology—May averages near 22°C—and model agreement on mild advection, though short-range uncertainty from cloud breaks or urban heat effects persists. Observational data from the station will resolve amid minimal remaining forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volumen
$17,866Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa International Airport on May 1 clustering tightly at 19-21°C, driving trader consensus with 21°C leading at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C (29.5%) and 20°C (22.5%). ARPA Lombardia's April 30 bulletin anticipates plains maxima of 18-20°C, with a gradual rise into the holiday weekend under building high-pressure influence stabilizing conditions after recent cloudy spells. This alignment reflects spring climatology—May averages near 22°C—and model agreement on mild advection, though short-range uncertainty from cloud breaks or urban heat effects persists. Observational data from the station will resolve amid minimal remaining forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,866Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature at Malpensa International Airport on May 1 clustering tightly at 19-21°C, driving trader consensus with 21°C leading at 47.5% implied probability, followed by 22°C (29.5%) and 20°C (22.5%). ARPA Lombardia's April 30 bulletin anticipates plains maxima of 18-20°C, with a gradual rise into the holiday weekend under building high-pressure influence stabilizing conditions after recent cloudy spells. This alignment reflects spring climatology—May averages near 22°C—and model agreement on mild advection, though short-range uncertainty from cloud breaks or urban heat effects persists. Observational data from the station will resolve amid minimal remaining forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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