Latest forecast ensembles from sources like Weather Channel indicate a high near 33°C for Lagos on May 2 under partly cloudy skies with 24% precipitation odds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C (33%) and 33°C (21%) amid persistent late-April heat trends exceeding 32°C daily highs. This positioning reflects reduced cloud cover and minimal recent rainfall allowing solar heating, though high uncertainty stems from convective buildup in the onset rainy season—thunderstorms per NiMet outlooks could suppress peaks by shading, while stronger sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea often moderate afternoon temperatures by 2–3°C. Model divergences in GFS/ECMWF runs highlight these variables, with new updates expected daily; historical May early highs average 31–32°C but urban heat island effects boost readings at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
34°C 34%
33°C 21%
32°C 16%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
21%
34°C
34%
35°C
13%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
2%
34°C 34%
33°C 21%
32°C 16%
31°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
27°C or below
$2,403 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,063 Vol.
2%
29°C
$55 Vol.
3%
30°C
$61 Vol.
6%
31°C
$14 Vol.
11%
32°C
$28 Vol.
16%
33°C
$32 Vol.
21%
34°C
$105 Vol.
34%
35°C
$57 Vol.
13%
36°C
$51 Vol.
6%
37°C or higher
$869 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from sources like Weather Channel indicate a high near 33°C for Lagos on May 2 under partly cloudy skies with 24% precipitation odds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C (33%) and 33°C (21%) amid persistent late-April heat trends exceeding 32°C daily highs. This positioning reflects reduced cloud cover and minimal recent rainfall allowing solar heating, though high uncertainty stems from convective buildup in the onset rainy season—thunderstorms per NiMet outlooks could suppress peaks by shading, while stronger sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea often moderate afternoon temperatures by 2–3°C. Model divergences in GFS/ECMWF runs highlight these variables, with new updates expected daily; historical May early highs average 31–32°C but urban heat island effects boost readings at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volumen
$4,726Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from sources like Weather Channel indicate a high near 33°C for Lagos on May 2 under partly cloudy skies with 24% precipitation odds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C (33%) and 33°C (21%) amid persistent late-April heat trends exceeding 32°C daily highs. This positioning reflects reduced cloud cover and minimal recent rainfall allowing solar heating, though high uncertainty stems from convective buildup in the onset rainy season—thunderstorms per NiMet outlooks could suppress peaks by shading, while stronger sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea often moderate afternoon temperatures by 2–3°C. Model divergences in GFS/ECMWF runs highlight these variables, with new updates expected daily; historical May early highs average 31–32°C but urban heat island effects boost readings at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,726Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from sources like Weather Channel indicate a high near 33°C for Lagos on May 2 under partly cloudy skies with 24% precipitation odds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 34°C (33%) and 33°C (21%) amid persistent late-April heat trends exceeding 32°C daily highs. This positioning reflects reduced cloud cover and minimal recent rainfall allowing solar heating, though high uncertainty stems from convective buildup in the onset rainy season—thunderstorms per NiMet outlooks could suppress peaks by shading, while stronger sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea often moderate afternoon temperatures by 2–3°C. Model divergences in GFS/ECMWF runs highlight these variables, with new updates expected daily; historical May early highs average 31–32°C but urban heat island effects boost readings at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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