Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtual certainty (100% implied probability) to a highest temperature of 22°C in Chengdu today, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Shuangliu International Airport recording midday peaks near 21°C under persistent 99% cloud cover and north-northeasterly winds that limit solar insolation and convective heating. Incoming light rain further caps warming potential, consistent with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs projecting a maximum of 22–23°C amid a cooler synoptic pattern suppressing typical April highs of 23–24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing brief spikes to 23°C in late afternoon, though low within forecast uncertainty ranges; final CMA observations after midnight will confirm the official peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 30?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,046 Vol.
$68,046 Vol.
30 abr 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,046 Vol.
$68,046 Vol.
30 abr 2026
22°C
$12,155 Vol.
100%
23°C
$8,373 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,670 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,091 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,716 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,984 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$5,048 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtual certainty (100% implied probability) to a highest temperature of 22°C in Chengdu today, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Shuangliu International Airport recording midday peaks near 21°C under persistent 99% cloud cover and north-northeasterly winds that limit solar insolation and convective heating. Incoming light rain further caps warming potential, consistent with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs projecting a maximum of 22–23°C amid a cooler synoptic pattern suppressing typical April highs of 23–24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing brief spikes to 23°C in late afternoon, though low within forecast uncertainty ranges; final CMA observations after midnight will confirm the official peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Volumen
$68,046Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtual certainty (100% implied probability) to a highest temperature of 22°C in Chengdu today, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Shuangliu International Airport recording midday peaks near 21°C under persistent 99% cloud cover and north-northeasterly winds that limit solar insolation and convective heating. Incoming light rain further caps warming potential, consistent with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs projecting a maximum of 22–23°C amid a cooler synoptic pattern suppressing typical April highs of 23–24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing brief spikes to 23°C in late afternoon, though low within forecast uncertainty ranges; final CMA observations after midnight will confirm the official peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$68,046Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtual certainty (100% implied probability) to a highest temperature of 22°C in Chengdu today, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) observations at Shuangliu International Airport recording midday peaks near 21°C under persistent 99% cloud cover and north-northeasterly winds that limit solar insolation and convective heating. Incoming light rain further caps warming potential, consistent with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs projecting a maximum of 22–23°C amid a cooler synoptic pattern suppressing typical April highs of 23–24°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing brief spikes to 23°C in late afternoon, though low within forecast uncertainty ranges; final CMA observations after midnight will confirm the official peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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