Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Paris high of 23°C at 86% implied probability, reflecting the latest Météo-France forecast models and international guidance from ECMWF and GFS, which project a peak temperature of 23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and abundant sunshine. Morning observations at Paris-Montsouris station already reached 13–15°C, well above the April historical average of 16°C, amid a month-long positive temperature anomaly of +1.5°C driven by favorable atmospheric conditions. The 13.5% odds on 24°C or higher account for potential intensification from prolonged solar heating this afternoon, while negligible probabilities for 21–22°C stem from yesterday's 20°C readings and clear skies minimizing cooling. Hourly updates from official stations will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 30?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 30?
23°C 87%
24°C or higher 12%
22°C <1%
$91,630 Vol.
$91,630 Vol.
30 abr 2026
22°C
<1%
23°C
87%
24°C or higher
12%
23°C 87%
24°C or higher 12%
22°C <1%
$91,630 Vol.
$91,630 Vol.
30 abr 2026
22°C
$18,305 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$14,927 Vol.
87%
24°C or higher
$21,892 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Paris high of 23°C at 86% implied probability, reflecting the latest Météo-France forecast models and international guidance from ECMWF and GFS, which project a peak temperature of 23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and abundant sunshine. Morning observations at Paris-Montsouris station already reached 13–15°C, well above the April historical average of 16°C, amid a month-long positive temperature anomaly of +1.5°C driven by favorable atmospheric conditions. The 13.5% odds on 24°C or higher account for potential intensification from prolonged solar heating this afternoon, while negligible probabilities for 21–22°C stem from yesterday's 20°C readings and clear skies minimizing cooling. Hourly updates from official stations will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volumen
$91,630Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Paris high of 23°C at 86% implied probability, reflecting the latest Météo-France forecast models and international guidance from ECMWF and GFS, which project a peak temperature of 23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and abundant sunshine. Morning observations at Paris-Montsouris station already reached 13–15°C, well above the April historical average of 16°C, amid a month-long positive temperature anomaly of +1.5°C driven by favorable atmospheric conditions. The 13.5% odds on 24°C or higher account for potential intensification from prolonged solar heating this afternoon, while negligible probabilities for 21–22°C stem from yesterday's 20°C readings and clear skies minimizing cooling. Hourly updates from official stations will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$91,630Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Paris high of 23°C at 86% implied probability, reflecting the latest Météo-France forecast models and international guidance from ECMWF and GFS, which project a peak temperature of 23°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and abundant sunshine. Morning observations at Paris-Montsouris station already reached 13–15°C, well above the April historical average of 16°C, amid a month-long positive temperature anomaly of +1.5°C driven by favorable atmospheric conditions. The 13.5% odds on 24°C or higher account for potential intensification from prolonged solar heating this afternoon, while negligible probabilities for 21–22°C stem from yesterday's 20°C readings and clear skies minimizing cooling. Hourly updates from official stations will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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