Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 19°C on April 30 at Shanghai Pudong International Airport (ZSPD), the market's official resolution source, driven by real-time METAR observations confirming a midday peak of 19°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. Afternoon readings hovered around 18°C before dropping toward 15°C by evening, aligning with China Meteorological Administration data and short-range GFS model outputs predicting limited further warming due to increasing cloud cover and post-solar maximum cooling. April climatology supports this, with late-month highs averaging 19–20°C, but a recent cool air mass suppressed extremes. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-day heat burst exceeding 20°C before midnight, though sunset and stable atmospheric conditions make this improbable. Final daily records expected from official stations within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$176,317 Vol.
$176,317 Vol.
30 abr 2026
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$176,317 Vol.
$176,317 Vol.
30 abr 2026
19°C
$22,232 Vol.
100%
20°C
$34,353 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20,869 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$13,260 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$16,054 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 19°C on April 30 at Shanghai Pudong International Airport (ZSPD), the market's official resolution source, driven by real-time METAR observations confirming a midday peak of 19°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. Afternoon readings hovered around 18°C before dropping toward 15°C by evening, aligning with China Meteorological Administration data and short-range GFS model outputs predicting limited further warming due to increasing cloud cover and post-solar maximum cooling. April climatology supports this, with late-month highs averaging 19–20°C, but a recent cool air mass suppressed extremes. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-day heat burst exceeding 20°C before midnight, though sunset and stable atmospheric conditions make this improbable. Final daily records expected from official stations within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Volumen
$176,317Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 19°C on April 30 at Shanghai Pudong International Airport (ZSPD), the market's official resolution source, driven by real-time METAR observations confirming a midday peak of 19°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. Afternoon readings hovered around 18°C before dropping toward 15°C by evening, aligning with China Meteorological Administration data and short-range GFS model outputs predicting limited further warming due to increasing cloud cover and post-solar maximum cooling. April climatology supports this, with late-month highs averaging 19–20°C, but a recent cool air mass suppressed extremes. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-day heat burst exceeding 20°C before midnight, though sunset and stable atmospheric conditions make this improbable. Final daily records expected from official stations within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$176,317Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching exactly 19°C on April 30 at Shanghai Pudong International Airport (ZSPD), the market's official resolution source, driven by real-time METAR observations confirming a midday peak of 19°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds. Afternoon readings hovered around 18°C before dropping toward 15°C by evening, aligning with China Meteorological Administration data and short-range GFS model outputs predicting limited further warming due to increasing cloud cover and post-solar maximum cooling. April climatology supports this, with late-month highs averaging 19–20°C, but a recent cool air mass suppressed extremes. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-day heat burst exceeding 20°C before midnight, though sunset and stable atmospheric conditions make this improbable. Final daily records expected from official stations within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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