Official observations from Milan's primary weather stations, including Milano Linate and Duomo, confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 19°C, aligning with market-implied odds at 100% for this outcome and reflecting verified thermometer data from the Italian Meteorological Service and regional ARPA Lombardia monitors. This positioning stems from a cool spring day under weak high-pressure influence, with light easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and overnight lows around 12°C capping daytime warming—consistent with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models predicting 18–20°C highs amid typical Po Valley April climatology (historical average ~17°C). Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-audit data corrections from secondary stations revealing a higher verified peak, though multi-station cross-verification makes this improbable; resolution is now effectively finalized with no further updates expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 30?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$56,952 Vol.
$56,952 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$56,952 Vol.
$56,952 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Milan's primary weather stations, including Milano Linate and Duomo, confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached exactly 19°C, aligning with market-implied odds at 100% for this outcome and reflecting verified thermometer data from the Italian Meteorological Service and regional ARPA Lombardia monitors. This positioning stems from a cool spring day under weak high-pressure influence, with light easterly winds, partial cloud cover, and overnight lows around 12°C capping daytime warming—consistent with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models predicting 18–20°C highs amid typical Po Valley April climatology (historical average ~17°C). Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-audit data corrections from secondary stations revealing a higher verified peak, though multi-station cross-verification makes this improbable; resolution is now effectively finalized with no further updates expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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