NDMA's recent severe heatwave alert through May 5, coupled with Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts of mild heatwave conditions in southern Pakistan until May 3, drives trader consensus toward highs of 37–38°C in Karachi on May 2, reflecting model runs from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles showing peaks around 37.2–38.3°C. Current atmospheric patterns feature a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, elevating temperatures 4–6°C above May's climatological average of 35°C, though coastal sea breezes and elevated Arabian Sea surface temperatures introduce variability that differentiates 37°C (37% implied probability) from 38°C (30%). Forecast uncertainty stems from potential dust haze or light winds moderating peaks; monitor PMD's daily advisories for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
37°C 37%
38°C 32%
36°C 18%
35°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
7%
36°C
18%
37°C
37%
38°C
32%
39°C or higher
7%
37°C 37%
38°C 32%
36°C 18%
35°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
29°C or below
$756 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,013 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$329 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$701 Vol.
1%
33°C
$657 Vol.
1%
34°C
$408 Vol.
1%
35°C
$182 Vol.
7%
36°C
$26 Vol.
18%
37°C
$56 Vol.
37%
38°C
$13 Vol.
32%
39°C or higher
$75 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.NDMA's recent severe heatwave alert through May 5, coupled with Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts of mild heatwave conditions in southern Pakistan until May 3, drives trader consensus toward highs of 37–38°C in Karachi on May 2, reflecting model runs from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles showing peaks around 37.2–38.3°C. Current atmospheric patterns feature a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, elevating temperatures 4–6°C above May's climatological average of 35°C, though coastal sea breezes and elevated Arabian Sea surface temperatures introduce variability that differentiates 37°C (37% implied probability) from 38°C (30%). Forecast uncertainty stems from potential dust haze or light winds moderating peaks; monitor PMD's daily advisories for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$4,215Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.NDMA's recent severe heatwave alert through May 5, coupled with Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts of mild heatwave conditions in southern Pakistan until May 3, drives trader consensus toward highs of 37–38°C in Karachi on May 2, reflecting model runs from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles showing peaks around 37.2–38.3°C. Current atmospheric patterns feature a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, elevating temperatures 4–6°C above May's climatological average of 35°C, though coastal sea breezes and elevated Arabian Sea surface temperatures introduce variability that differentiates 37°C (37% implied probability) from 38°C (30%). Forecast uncertainty stems from potential dust haze or light winds moderating peaks; monitor PMD's daily advisories for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,215Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...NDMA's recent severe heatwave alert through May 5, coupled with Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts of mild heatwave conditions in southern Pakistan until May 3, drives trader consensus toward highs of 37–38°C in Karachi on May 2, reflecting model runs from NOAA and ECMWF ensembles showing peaks around 37.2–38.3°C. Current atmospheric patterns feature a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, elevating temperatures 4–6°C above May's climatological average of 35°C, though coastal sea breezes and elevated Arabian Sea surface temperatures introduce variability that differentiates 37°C (37% implied probability) from 38°C (30%). Forecast uncertainty stems from potential dust haze or light winds moderating peaks; monitor PMD's daily advisories for refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes