Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 60-61°F (47.5% implied probability) as New York City's highest temperature today, closely tracking overnight GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting NYC-area peaks around 61-63°F under persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers from a weak post-frontal boundary. National Weather Service forecasts a high near 64°F with slight shower chances, but current Central Park observations—morning temperatures stalled at 47-49°F amid dense fog/mist, overcast skies at 1,300 feet, and 97% humidity—signal limited diurnal heating, echoing yesterday's cool 53°F maximum. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud breaks potentially boosting highs into the low 60s or prolonged overcast keeping them in the upper 50s; watch NWS updates this afternoon for resolution shifts based on official Central Park measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on April 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?
60-61°F 44%
58-59°F 32%
62-63°F 13%
56-57°F 9.2%
$84,129 Vol.
$84,129 Vol.
30 abr 2026
55°F or below
5%
56-57°F
9%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
44%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 44%
58-59°F 32%
62-63°F 13%
56-57°F 9.2%
$84,129 Vol.
$84,129 Vol.
30 abr 2026
55°F or below
$18,224 Vol.
5%
56-57°F
$12,460 Vol.
9%
58-59°F
$10,241 Vol.
32%
60-61°F
$7,712 Vol.
44%
62-63°F
$7,306 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$6,238 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$7,759 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5,501 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,500 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$3,849 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 60-61°F (47.5% implied probability) as New York City's highest temperature today, closely tracking overnight GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting NYC-area peaks around 61-63°F under persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers from a weak post-frontal boundary. National Weather Service forecasts a high near 64°F with slight shower chances, but current Central Park observations—morning temperatures stalled at 47-49°F amid dense fog/mist, overcast skies at 1,300 feet, and 97% humidity—signal limited diurnal heating, echoing yesterday's cool 53°F maximum. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud breaks potentially boosting highs into the low 60s or prolonged overcast keeping them in the upper 50s; watch NWS updates this afternoon for resolution shifts based on official Central Park measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volumen
$84,129Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 60-61°F (47.5% implied probability) as New York City's highest temperature today, closely tracking overnight GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting NYC-area peaks around 61-63°F under persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers from a weak post-frontal boundary. National Weather Service forecasts a high near 64°F with slight shower chances, but current Central Park observations—morning temperatures stalled at 47-49°F amid dense fog/mist, overcast skies at 1,300 feet, and 97% humidity—signal limited diurnal heating, echoing yesterday's cool 53°F maximum. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud breaks potentially boosting highs into the low 60s or prolonged overcast keeping them in the upper 50s; watch NWS updates this afternoon for resolution shifts based on official Central Park measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$84,129Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 60-61°F (47.5% implied probability) as New York City's highest temperature today, closely tracking overnight GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting NYC-area peaks around 61-63°F under persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers from a weak post-frontal boundary. National Weather Service forecasts a high near 64°F with slight shower chances, but current Central Park observations—morning temperatures stalled at 47-49°F amid dense fog/mist, overcast skies at 1,300 feet, and 97% humidity—signal limited diurnal heating, echoing yesterday's cool 53°F maximum. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud breaks potentially boosting highs into the low 60s or prolonged overcast keeping them in the upper 50s; watch NWS updates this afternoon for resolution shifts based on official Central Park measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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