India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level forecasts for Lucknow district predict maximum temperatures of 37.7–38.1°C on May 2, anchoring trader sentiment with 37°C at 36.5% and 36°C or below at 46.5% implied probabilities, while 38°C trails at 11%. This follows recent observational data showing a cool spell—31.7°C (-7.8°C below normal) on April 30 and 36°C (+0.4°C anomaly) on May 1—attributable to partly cloudy skies from passing pre-monsoon disturbances suppressing heat buildup. Dry conditions with minimal cloud cover (1–2 octa) and light winds (17–18 km/h) are expected, though inherent forecast uncertainty could shift peaks by 1–2°C based on evolving upper-air patterns. IMD updates later today may refine guidance ahead of resolution via official airport station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 2?
36°C or below 43%
37°C 42%
38°C 11%
39°C 1.8%
$15,898 Vol.
$15,898 Vol.
36°C or below
43%
37°C
42%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
36°C or below 43%
37°C 42%
38°C 11%
39°C 1.8%
$15,898 Vol.
$15,898 Vol.
36°C or below
43%
37°C
42%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) block-level forecasts for Lucknow district predict maximum temperatures of 37.7–38.1°C on May 2, anchoring trader sentiment with 37°C at 36.5% and 36°C or below at 46.5% implied probabilities, while 38°C trails at 11%. This follows recent observational data showing a cool spell—31.7°C (-7.8°C below normal) on April 30 and 36°C (+0.4°C anomaly) on May 1—attributable to partly cloudy skies from passing pre-monsoon disturbances suppressing heat buildup. Dry conditions with minimal cloud cover (1–2 octa) and light winds (17–18 km/h) are expected, though inherent forecast uncertainty could shift peaks by 1–2°C based on evolving upper-air patterns. IMD updates later today may refine guidance ahead of resolution via official airport station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes