Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 30 (99.6% implied probability), backed by Roshydromet and Gismeteo forecasts showing daytime highs of 4–5°C under persistent overcast skies and light winds following the record late-April snowstorm of April 27–28, which ushered in a deep cold air mass with morning observations at 1–2°C. Ensemble weather models indicate limited solar heating due to high cloud cover and stable upper-level trough, well below the late-April climatological average of 11–12°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for brief insolation-driven warming to 5°C or a sudden warm advection, though current soundings and guidance suggest minimal risk as the market nears resolution via official VDNKh station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 30?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 30?
4°C 99.6%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$107,020 Vol.
$107,020 Vol.
30 abr 2026
4°C
100%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
4°C 99.6%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$107,020 Vol.
$107,020 Vol.
30 abr 2026
4°C
$18,585 Vol.
100%
5°C
$11,727 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$13,255 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$9,082 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$6,788 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$7,927 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$8,410 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$8,951 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$11,567 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 30 (99.6% implied probability), backed by Roshydromet and Gismeteo forecasts showing daytime highs of 4–5°C under persistent overcast skies and light winds following the record late-April snowstorm of April 27–28, which ushered in a deep cold air mass with morning observations at 1–2°C. Ensemble weather models indicate limited solar heating due to high cloud cover and stable upper-level trough, well below the late-April climatological average of 11–12°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for brief insolation-driven warming to 5°C or a sudden warm advection, though current soundings and guidance suggest minimal risk as the market nears resolution via official VDNKh station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volumen
$107,020Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 30 (99.6% implied probability), backed by Roshydromet and Gismeteo forecasts showing daytime highs of 4–5°C under persistent overcast skies and light winds following the record late-April snowstorm of April 27–28, which ushered in a deep cold air mass with morning observations at 1–2°C. Ensemble weather models indicate limited solar heating due to high cloud cover and stable upper-level trough, well below the late-April climatological average of 11–12°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for brief insolation-driven warming to 5°C or a sudden warm advection, though current soundings and guidance suggest minimal risk as the market nears resolution via official VDNKh station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$107,020Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 4°C in Moscow on April 30 (99.6% implied probability), backed by Roshydromet and Gismeteo forecasts showing daytime highs of 4–5°C under persistent overcast skies and light winds following the record late-April snowstorm of April 27–28, which ushered in a deep cold air mass with morning observations at 1–2°C. Ensemble weather models indicate limited solar heating due to high cloud cover and stable upper-level trough, well below the late-April climatological average of 11–12°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for brief insolation-driven warming to 5°C or a sudden warm advection, though current soundings and guidance suggest minimal risk as the market nears resolution via official VDNKh station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes