Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on May 2 indicates a high near 10°C under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 8-10°C outcomes with 9°C leading at 35.5% implied probability. Persistent upper-level troughing over eastern Canada maintains cool northerly flow, suppressing temperatures 5-7°C below the early May climatological average of 16°C, while ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models—diverging by 2-3°C—reflect uncertainty in cloud evolution, light precipitation timing, and diurnal heating potential that differentiate these close outcomes. Overnight lows near 0°C with frost risk further cap daytime recovery; watch for updated model runs overnight and morning observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport, the likely resolution station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
9°C 36%
10°C 26%
8°C 22%
7°C 7%
NUEVO
$16,673 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,673 Vol.
2 may 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
2%
7°C
7%
8°C
22%
9°C
36%
10°C
26%
11°C
6%
12°C
3%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
9°C 36%
10°C 26%
8°C 22%
7°C 7%
NUEVO
$16,673 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,673 Vol.
2 may 2026
4°C or below
$2,343 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$2,056 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,590 Vol.
2%
7°C
$1,905 Vol.
7%
8°C
$1,375 Vol.
22%
9°C
$1,196 Vol.
36%
10°C
$958 Vol.
26%
11°C
$883 Vol.
6%
12°C
$1,144 Vol.
3%
13°C
$2,171 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$1,193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on May 2 indicates a high near 10°C under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 8-10°C outcomes with 9°C leading at 35.5% implied probability. Persistent upper-level troughing over eastern Canada maintains cool northerly flow, suppressing temperatures 5-7°C below the early May climatological average of 16°C, while ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models—diverging by 2-3°C—reflect uncertainty in cloud evolution, light precipitation timing, and diurnal heating potential that differentiate these close outcomes. Overnight lows near 0°C with frost risk further cap daytime recovery; watch for updated model runs overnight and morning observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport, the likely resolution station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$16,673Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on May 2 indicates a high near 10°C under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 8-10°C outcomes with 9°C leading at 35.5% implied probability. Persistent upper-level troughing over eastern Canada maintains cool northerly flow, suppressing temperatures 5-7°C below the early May climatological average of 16°C, while ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models—diverging by 2-3°C—reflect uncertainty in cloud evolution, light precipitation timing, and diurnal heating potential that differentiate these close outcomes. Overnight lows near 0°C with frost risk further cap daytime recovery; watch for updated model runs overnight and morning observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport, the likely resolution station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,673Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto on May 2 indicates a high near 10°C under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 8-10°C outcomes with 9°C leading at 35.5% implied probability. Persistent upper-level troughing over eastern Canada maintains cool northerly flow, suppressing temperatures 5-7°C below the early May climatological average of 16°C, while ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models—diverging by 2-3°C—reflect uncertainty in cloud evolution, light precipitation timing, and diurnal heating potential that differentiate these close outcomes. Overnight lows near 0°C with frost risk further cap daytime recovery; watch for updated model runs overnight and morning observations from Toronto Pearson International Airport, the likely resolution station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes