Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18°C (36.5%) and 19°C (30.5%) for Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 19°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with supporting models like yr.no aligning at 19°C. Differentiating factors include variable southeasterly sea breeze strength, which could cap peaks at 18°C via coastal cooling, versus lighter northerly flows or reduced cloudiness pushing toward 20°C (19%). Autumn climatology averages 19°C highs, but ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF (17–21°C) highlight uncertainty in frontal timing; watch SAWS updates and overnight model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
18°C 37%
19°C 31%
20°C 17%
17°C 7.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
37%
19°C
31%
20°C
17%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 31%
20°C 17%
17°C 7.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
15°C or below
$647 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$290 Vol.
1%
17°C
$9 Vol.
7%
18°C
$50 Vol.
37%
19°C
$9 Vol.
31%
20°C
$25 Vol.
17%
21°C
$117 Vol.
6%
22°C
$229 Vol.
1%
23°C
$458 Vol.
1%
24°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18°C (36.5%) and 19°C (30.5%) for Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 19°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with supporting models like yr.no aligning at 19°C. Differentiating factors include variable southeasterly sea breeze strength, which could cap peaks at 18°C via coastal cooling, versus lighter northerly flows or reduced cloudiness pushing toward 20°C (19%). Autumn climatology averages 19°C highs, but ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF (17–21°C) highlight uncertainty in frontal timing; watch SAWS updates and overnight model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,071Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18°C (36.5%) and 19°C (30.5%) for Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 19°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with supporting models like yr.no aligning at 19°C. Differentiating factors include variable southeasterly sea breeze strength, which could cap peaks at 18°C via coastal cooling, versus lighter northerly flows or reduced cloudiness pushing toward 20°C (19%). Autumn climatology averages 19°C highs, but ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF (17–21°C) highlight uncertainty in frontal timing; watch SAWS updates and overnight model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,071Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 18°C (36.5%) and 19°C (30.5%) for Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of a 19°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with supporting models like yr.no aligning at 19°C. Differentiating factors include variable southeasterly sea breeze strength, which could cap peaks at 18°C via coastal cooling, versus lighter northerly flows or reduced cloudiness pushing toward 20°C (19%). Autumn climatology averages 19°C highs, but ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF (17–21°C) highlight uncertainty in frontal timing; watch SAWS updates and overnight model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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