Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62.5% probability for Seattle's highest temperature reaching 72°F or higher on May 2, driven by the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecasts projecting partly sunny skies with highs near 71-72°F amid light northerly winds. This reflects a dominant upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest, minimizing marine layer intrusion and enabling efficient solar heating after a warm spring 2026—highlighted by Seattle-Tacoma Airport's first 70°F reading on April 6 and ongoing positive temperature anomalies above the May climatological average of 65°F. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models shows tight agreement with low precipitation risk, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or onshore flow could cap peaks at 70-71°F (27% implied odds). Overnight forecast updates will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 2?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 2?
72°F or higher 66%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 8%
66-67°F 2.0%
NUEVO
$11,384 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,384 Vol.
2 may 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
25%
72°F or higher
66%
72°F or higher 66%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 8%
66-67°F 2.0%
NUEVO
$11,384 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,384 Vol.
2 may 2026
53°F or below
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$786 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$946 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$346 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$694 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$911 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,730 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1,071 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$1,305 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$981 Vol.
25%
72°F or higher
$1,157 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62.5% probability for Seattle's highest temperature reaching 72°F or higher on May 2, driven by the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecasts projecting partly sunny skies with highs near 71-72°F amid light northerly winds. This reflects a dominant upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest, minimizing marine layer intrusion and enabling efficient solar heating after a warm spring 2026—highlighted by Seattle-Tacoma Airport's first 70°F reading on April 6 and ongoing positive temperature anomalies above the May climatological average of 65°F. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models shows tight agreement with low precipitation risk, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or onshore flow could cap peaks at 70-71°F (27% implied odds). Overnight forecast updates will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$11,384Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62.5% probability for Seattle's highest temperature reaching 72°F or higher on May 2, driven by the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecasts projecting partly sunny skies with highs near 71-72°F amid light northerly winds. This reflects a dominant upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest, minimizing marine layer intrusion and enabling efficient solar heating after a warm spring 2026—highlighted by Seattle-Tacoma Airport's first 70°F reading on April 6 and ongoing positive temperature anomalies above the May climatological average of 65°F. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models shows tight agreement with low precipitation risk, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or onshore flow could cap peaks at 70-71°F (27% implied odds). Overnight forecast updates will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,384Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62.5% probability for Seattle's highest temperature reaching 72°F or higher on May 2, driven by the National Weather Service's latest short-range forecasts projecting partly sunny skies with highs near 71-72°F amid light northerly winds. This reflects a dominant upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest, minimizing marine layer intrusion and enabling efficient solar heating after a warm spring 2026—highlighted by Seattle-Tacoma Airport's first 70°F reading on April 6 and ongoing positive temperature anomalies above the May climatological average of 65°F. Ensemble guidance from NOAA models shows tight agreement with low precipitation risk, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or onshore flow could cap peaks at 70-71°F (27% implied odds). Overnight forecast updates will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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