Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's May 2 high temperature, with 29°C (31.5%) edging 28°C (30.5%) amid model ensemble spreads from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources like timeanddate.com and weather.com. The bureau's latest projection pins a 28°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with east winds moderating sea-breeze influences, while higher-resolution runs suggest potential for 29°C if scattered showers (20-61% chance) dissipate early, allowing greater solar insolation in the subtropical monsoon climate. April's recent highs around 26°C signal a warming trend into early May climatological norms of 28-30°C, but cloud variability and humidity could differentiate outcomes. Daily updates from CMA models expected to refine this ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 2?
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
30°C 16%
27°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
13%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C
16%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
30°C 16%
27°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
22°C or below
$526 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$480 Vol.
1%
25°C
$257 Vol.
2%
26°C
$121 Vol.
7%
27°C
$24 Vol.
13%
28°C
$40 Vol.
30%
29°C
$13 Vol.
32%
30°C
$67 Vol.
16%
31°C
$99 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$202 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's May 2 high temperature, with 29°C (31.5%) edging 28°C (30.5%) amid model ensemble spreads from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources like timeanddate.com and weather.com. The bureau's latest projection pins a 28°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with east winds moderating sea-breeze influences, while higher-resolution runs suggest potential for 29°C if scattered showers (20-61% chance) dissipate early, allowing greater solar insolation in the subtropical monsoon climate. April's recent highs around 26°C signal a warming trend into early May climatological norms of 28-30°C, but cloud variability and humidity could differentiate outcomes. Daily updates from CMA models expected to refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$2,125Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's May 2 high temperature, with 29°C (31.5%) edging 28°C (30.5%) amid model ensemble spreads from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources like timeanddate.com and weather.com. The bureau's latest projection pins a 28°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with east winds moderating sea-breeze influences, while higher-resolution runs suggest potential for 29°C if scattered showers (20-61% chance) dissipate early, allowing greater solar insolation in the subtropical monsoon climate. April's recent highs around 26°C signal a warming trend into early May climatological norms of 28-30°C, but cloud variability and humidity could differentiate outcomes. Daily updates from CMA models expected to refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,125Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's May 2 high temperature, with 29°C (31.5%) edging 28°C (30.5%) amid model ensemble spreads from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources like timeanddate.com and weather.com. The bureau's latest projection pins a 28°C peak under partly cloudy conditions with east winds moderating sea-breeze influences, while higher-resolution runs suggest potential for 29°C if scattered showers (20-61% chance) dissipate early, allowing greater solar insolation in the subtropical monsoon climate. April's recent highs around 26°C signal a warming trend into early May climatological norms of 28-30°C, but cloud variability and humidity could differentiate outcomes. Daily updates from CMA models expected to refine this ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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