Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 24–26°C for Busan’s highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport on May 2, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in this range under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Above-seasonal warmth—early May climatology averages 21–22°C—is driven by southerly winds advecting mild air, building on May 1’s observed ~23°C high. Key differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability: partial clearing could boost solar insolation for 25–26°C, while persistent overcast caps at 23–24°C, as model spreads highlight subtle differences in boundary layer mixing and insolation. Next KMA briefing and hourly observations will sharpen resolution before daily close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 2?
24°C 37%
25°C 30%
26°C 19%
23°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
37%
25°C
30%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
8%
24°C 37%
25°C 30%
26°C 19%
23°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
17°C or below
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$912 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,406 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$751 Vol.
1%
21°C
$670 Vol.
1%
22°C
$429 Vol.
3%
23°C
$228 Vol.
14%
24°C
$234 Vol.
37%
25°C
$198 Vol.
30%
26°C
$354 Vol.
19%
27°C or higher
$374 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 24–26°C for Busan’s highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport on May 2, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in this range under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Above-seasonal warmth—early May climatology averages 21–22°C—is driven by southerly winds advecting mild air, building on May 1’s observed ~23°C high. Key differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability: partial clearing could boost solar insolation for 25–26°C, while persistent overcast caps at 23–24°C, as model spreads highlight subtle differences in boundary layer mixing and insolation. Next KMA briefing and hourly observations will sharpen resolution before daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$6,968Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 24–26°C for Busan’s highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport on May 2, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in this range under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Above-seasonal warmth—early May climatology averages 21–22°C—is driven by southerly winds advecting mild air, building on May 1’s observed ~23°C high. Key differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability: partial clearing could boost solar insolation for 25–26°C, while persistent overcast caps at 23–24°C, as model spreads highlight subtle differences in boundary layer mixing and insolation. Next KMA briefing and hourly observations will sharpen resolution before daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,968Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:38 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 24–26°C for Busan’s highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport on May 2, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecast and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models projecting peaks in this range under a dominant high-pressure ridge. Above-seasonal warmth—early May climatology averages 21–22°C—is driven by southerly winds advecting mild air, building on May 1’s observed ~23°C high. Key differentiating factors include afternoon cloud cover variability: partial clearing could boost solar insolation for 25–26°C, while persistent overcast caps at 23–24°C, as model spreads highlight subtle differences in boundary layer mixing and insolation. Next KMA briefing and hourly observations will sharpen resolution before daily close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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