Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (48.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering peaks around 20-22°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, delivering ample sunshine and light southerly winds. Official sources like ARPA Lombardia and Italian meteorological services (3B Meteo, Il Meteo) align with daytime highs of 21-26°C, though model consensus leans milder due to partial cloudiness in the afternoon; climatological averages for early May hover near 20°C, with recent runs showing slight warming from yesterday's cooler bias. Uncertainty stems from exact solar insolation and urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, where resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum—watch overnight model updates for potential shifts before observations finalize tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 1?
21°C 49%
20°C 28%
22°C 24%
19°C 5%
NUEVO
$29,328 Vol.
NUEVO
$29,328 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
28%
21°C
49%
22°C
24%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 49%
20°C 28%
22°C 24%
19°C 5%
NUEVO
$29,328 Vol.
NUEVO
$29,328 Vol.
1 may 2026
14°C or below
$533 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$370 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,158 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,989 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5,799 Vol.
5%
20°C
$3,975 Vol.
28%
21°C
$3,931 Vol.
49%
22°C
$3,409 Vol.
24%
23°C
$2,609 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$2,186 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (48.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering peaks around 20-22°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, delivering ample sunshine and light southerly winds. Official sources like ARPA Lombardia and Italian meteorological services (3B Meteo, Il Meteo) align with daytime highs of 21-26°C, though model consensus leans milder due to partial cloudiness in the afternoon; climatological averages for early May hover near 20°C, with recent runs showing slight warming from yesterday's cooler bias. Uncertainty stems from exact solar insolation and urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, where resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum—watch overnight model updates for potential shifts before observations finalize tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volumen
$29,328Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (48.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering peaks around 20-22°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, delivering ample sunshine and light southerly winds. Official sources like ARPA Lombardia and Italian meteorological services (3B Meteo, Il Meteo) align with daytime highs of 21-26°C, though model consensus leans milder due to partial cloudiness in the afternoon; climatological averages for early May hover near 20°C, with recent runs showing slight warming from yesterday's cooler bias. Uncertainty stems from exact solar insolation and urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, where resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum—watch overnight model updates for potential shifts before observations finalize tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$29,328Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (48.5%) as Milan's highest temperature on May 1, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering peaks around 20-22°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, delivering ample sunshine and light southerly winds. Official sources like ARPA Lombardia and Italian meteorological services (3B Meteo, Il Meteo) align with daytime highs of 21-26°C, though model consensus leans milder due to partial cloudiness in the afternoon; climatological averages for early May hover near 20°C, with recent runs showing slight warming from yesterday's cooler bias. Uncertainty stems from exact solar insolation and urban heat effects at Milan Linate station, where resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum—watch overnight model updates for potential shifts before observations finalize tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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