Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 51% implied probability to 72°F or higher as the peak temperature at Los Angeles International Airport on May 8, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 79°F under mostly sunny skies following patchy morning fog. This warming trend stems from a building upper-level ridge weakening the persistent marine layer—stratocumulus clouds and cool coastal air—that has capped recent highs around 64-68°F through May 5 amid strong onshore flow. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports early burn-off of the shallow marine layer by 11 a.m., enabling inland heating, though deeper clouds could limit peaks to the upper 60s as priced at 35% in several bins. Updated NWS guidance expected midday May 7 will refine coastal temperature trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 8?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 8?
72°F or higher 38%
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 30%
66-67°F 2.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
32%
72°F or higher
38%
72°F or higher 38%
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 30%
66-67°F 2.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 may 2026
53°F or below
$975 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$52 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$41 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$21 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$21 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$29 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$16 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$142 Vol.
30%
70-71°F
$82 Vol.
32%
72°F or higher
$93 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 51% implied probability to 72°F or higher as the peak temperature at Los Angeles International Airport on May 8, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 79°F under mostly sunny skies following patchy morning fog. This warming trend stems from a building upper-level ridge weakening the persistent marine layer—stratocumulus clouds and cool coastal air—that has capped recent highs around 64-68°F through May 5 amid strong onshore flow. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports early burn-off of the shallow marine layer by 11 a.m., enabling inland heating, though deeper clouds could limit peaks to the upper 60s as priced at 35% in several bins. Updated NWS guidance expected midday May 7 will refine coastal temperature trajectories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$1,505Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 51% implied probability to 72°F or higher as the peak temperature at Los Angeles International Airport on May 8, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 79°F under mostly sunny skies following patchy morning fog. This warming trend stems from a building upper-level ridge weakening the persistent marine layer—stratocumulus clouds and cool coastal air—that has capped recent highs around 64-68°F through May 5 amid strong onshore flow. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports early burn-off of the shallow marine layer by 11 a.m., enabling inland heating, though deeper clouds could limit peaks to the upper 60s as priced at 35% in several bins. Updated NWS guidance expected midday May 7 will refine coastal temperature trajectories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,505Fecha de finalización
8 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives a 51% implied probability to 72°F or higher as the peak temperature at Los Angeles International Airport on May 8, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 79°F under mostly sunny skies following patchy morning fog. This warming trend stems from a building upper-level ridge weakening the persistent marine layer—stratocumulus clouds and cool coastal air—that has capped recent highs around 64-68°F through May 5 amid strong onshore flow. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports early burn-off of the shallow marine layer by 11 a.m., enabling inland heating, though deeper clouds could limit peaks to the upper 60s as priced at 35% in several bins. Updated NWS guidance expected midday May 7 will refine coastal temperature trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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