Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 64-72°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature at LAX on May 7, with a slight edge to 72°F or higher at 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty in marine layer clearing amid cool sea surface temperatures near 59°F off the Southern California coast. Recent National Weather Service guidance for May 4-5 shows observed highs of 66-68°F under persistent stratus clouds and light onshore flow, tempering diurnal heating despite a developing weak upper-level ridge. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 4-6°F, with potential for later clearing boosting upper outcomes; new 00Z runs expected tonight could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 70°F, underscoring the tight balance of coastal cooling versus inland warming influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 7?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 7?
68-69°F 18%
70-71°F 16%
66-67°F 6%
64-65°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
16%
72°F or higher
42%
68-69°F 18%
70-71°F 16%
66-67°F 6%
64-65°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
53°F or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$5 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$1 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$73 Vol.
16%
72°F or higher
$126 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 64-72°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature at LAX on May 7, with a slight edge to 72°F or higher at 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty in marine layer clearing amid cool sea surface temperatures near 59°F off the Southern California coast. Recent National Weather Service guidance for May 4-5 shows observed highs of 66-68°F under persistent stratus clouds and light onshore flow, tempering diurnal heating despite a developing weak upper-level ridge. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 4-6°F, with potential for later clearing boosting upper outcomes; new 00Z runs expected tonight could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 70°F, underscoring the tight balance of coastal cooling versus inland warming influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$404Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 64-72°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature at LAX on May 7, with a slight edge to 72°F or higher at 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty in marine layer clearing amid cool sea surface temperatures near 59°F off the Southern California coast. Recent National Weather Service guidance for May 4-5 shows observed highs of 66-68°F under persistent stratus clouds and light onshore flow, tempering diurnal heating despite a developing weak upper-level ridge. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 4-6°F, with potential for later clearing boosting upper outcomes; new 00Z runs expected tonight could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 70°F, underscoring the tight balance of coastal cooling versus inland warming influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$404Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 64-72°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature at LAX on May 7, with a slight edge to 72°F or higher at 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty in marine layer clearing amid cool sea surface temperatures near 59°F off the Southern California coast. Recent National Weather Service guidance for May 4-5 shows observed highs of 66-68°F under persistent stratus clouds and light onshore flow, tempering diurnal heating despite a developing weak upper-level ridge. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF diverge by 4-6°F, with potential for later clearing boosting upper outcomes; new 00Z runs expected tonight could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical May averages hover near 70°F, underscoring the tight balance of coastal cooling versus inland warming influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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