Current extended forecasts from AccuWeather and NiMet indicate highs of 29–34°C (84–93°F) for early May in Lagos, with model consensus centering around 31–32°C amid the rainy season onset, where increased cloud cover and showers—projected at 88% probability on May 4 per world-weather.info—typically moderate peaks. NiMet's February 2026 seasonal climate prediction highlights warmer-than-normal temperatures and above-normal rainfall for Lagos, reflecting La Niña influences boosting tropical moisture, though historical May data at Murtala Muhammed International Airport (Ikeja) averages 31°C with rare exceedances above 33°C. Trader sentiment hinges on short-term precipitation patterns; watch NiMet daily bulletins and airport observations for resolution as models update through May 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
34°C 30%
33°C 27%
32°C 23%
35°C 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
28°C or below
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
11%
32°C
23%
33°C
27%
34°C
30%
35°C
23%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 30%
33°C 27%
32°C 23%
35°C 23%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
28°C or below
$507 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
23%
33°C
$4 Vol.
27%
34°C
$4 Vol.
30%
35°C
$0 Vol.
23%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C or higher
$56 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current extended forecasts from AccuWeather and NiMet indicate highs of 29–34°C (84–93°F) for early May in Lagos, with model consensus centering around 31–32°C amid the rainy season onset, where increased cloud cover and showers—projected at 88% probability on May 4 per world-weather.info—typically moderate peaks. NiMet's February 2026 seasonal climate prediction highlights warmer-than-normal temperatures and above-normal rainfall for Lagos, reflecting La Niña influences boosting tropical moisture, though historical May data at Murtala Muhammed International Airport (Ikeja) averages 31°C with rare exceedances above 33°C. Trader sentiment hinges on short-term precipitation patterns; watch NiMet daily bulletins and airport observations for resolution as models update through May 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$571Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current extended forecasts from AccuWeather and NiMet indicate highs of 29–34°C (84–93°F) for early May in Lagos, with model consensus centering around 31–32°C amid the rainy season onset, where increased cloud cover and showers—projected at 88% probability on May 4 per world-weather.info—typically moderate peaks. NiMet's February 2026 seasonal climate prediction highlights warmer-than-normal temperatures and above-normal rainfall for Lagos, reflecting La Niña influences boosting tropical moisture, though historical May data at Murtala Muhammed International Airport (Ikeja) averages 31°C with rare exceedances above 33°C. Trader sentiment hinges on short-term precipitation patterns; watch NiMet daily bulletins and airport observations for resolution as models update through May 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$571Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current extended forecasts from AccuWeather and NiMet indicate highs of 29–34°C (84–93°F) for early May in Lagos, with model consensus centering around 31–32°C amid the rainy season onset, where increased cloud cover and showers—projected at 88% probability on May 4 per world-weather.info—typically moderate peaks. NiMet's February 2026 seasonal climate prediction highlights warmer-than-normal temperatures and above-normal rainfall for Lagos, reflecting La Niña influences boosting tropical moisture, though historical May data at Murtala Muhammed International Airport (Ikeja) averages 31°C with rare exceedances above 33°C. Trader sentiment hinges on short-term precipitation patterns; watch NiMet daily bulletins and airport observations for resolution as models update through May 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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