Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, with 20°C and 21°C each at 25.5% implied probability amid a cool, unsettled weather pattern. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates project 27°C under multi-cloud turning to heavy rain, but international models like AccuWeather (22°C) and Weather.com (19°C) emphasize morning showers and persistent cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of 26°C. Key differentiators include shower timing—prolonged overcast favors 19–20°C, partial afternoon clearing boosts to 21°C—and boundary layer stability from recent frontal passages over the Yangtze Basin. Watch CMA hourly guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles tomorrow for shifts as the event nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 2 de mayo?
20°C 26%
21°C 26%
19°C 18%
22°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
18%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
17%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C o más
1%
20°C 26%
21°C 26%
19°C 18%
22°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 may 2026
15°C o menos
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$370 Vol.
3%
18°C
$676 Vol.
8%
19°C
$212 Vol.
18%
20°C
$51 Vol.
26%
21°C
$69 Vol.
26%
22°C
$196 Vol.
17%
23°C
$46 Vol.
6%
24°C
$420 Vol.
1%
25°C o más
$240 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, with 20°C and 21°C each at 25.5% implied probability amid a cool, unsettled weather pattern. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates project 27°C under multi-cloud turning to heavy rain, but international models like AccuWeather (22°C) and Weather.com (19°C) emphasize morning showers and persistent cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of 26°C. Key differentiators include shower timing—prolonged overcast favors 19–20°C, partial afternoon clearing boosts to 21°C—and boundary layer stability from recent frontal passages over the Yangtze Basin. Watch CMA hourly guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles tomorrow for shifts as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$3,700Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, with 20°C and 21°C each at 25.5% implied probability amid a cool, unsettled weather pattern. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates project 27°C under multi-cloud turning to heavy rain, but international models like AccuWeather (22°C) and Weather.com (19°C) emphasize morning showers and persistent cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of 26°C. Key differentiators include shower timing—prolonged overcast favors 19–20°C, partial afternoon clearing boosts to 21°C—and boundary layer stability from recent frontal passages over the Yangtze Basin. Watch CMA hourly guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles tomorrow for shifts as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,700Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport's highest temperature on May 2, with 20°C and 21°C each at 25.5% implied probability amid a cool, unsettled weather pattern. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates project 27°C under multi-cloud turning to heavy rain, but international models like AccuWeather (22°C) and Weather.com (19°C) emphasize morning showers and persistent cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of 26°C. Key differentiators include shower timing—prolonged overcast favors 19–20°C, partial afternoon clearing boosts to 21°C—and boundary layer stability from recent frontal passages over the Yangtze Basin. Watch CMA hourly guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensembles tomorrow for shifts as the event nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes