Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 92-93°F (41%) and 90-91°F (31%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 2, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent ridge of high pressure aloft. This setup fosters subsidence—sinking air that caps clouds and maximizes daytime heating—with south-southeast winds advecting warm, humid Gulf air, yielding heat indices near 102-105°F per NWS Miami advisories. Recent overnight model runs show tightening around 91-93°F peaks during afternoon hours, above May climatological averages of 86°F, amplified by Miami's urban heat island effect. New 12Z forecasts today and KMIA observations tomorrow could shift odds amid inherent model spread of ±2°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 2 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 2 de mayo?
92-93°F 42%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 21.6%
88-89°F 3.9%
NUEVO
$12,750 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,750 Vol.
2 may 2026
83°F o menos
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F o más
<1%
92-93°F 42%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 21.6%
88-89°F 3.9%
NUEVO
$12,750 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,750 Vol.
2 may 2026
83°F o menos
$2,030 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,451 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,583 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$880 Vol.
31%
92-93°F
$1,005 Vol.
42%
94-95°F
$972 Vol.
22%
96-97°F
$844 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$831 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$862 Vol.
1%
102°F o más
$946 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 92-93°F (41%) and 90-91°F (31%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 2, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent ridge of high pressure aloft. This setup fosters subsidence—sinking air that caps clouds and maximizes daytime heating—with south-southeast winds advecting warm, humid Gulf air, yielding heat indices near 102-105°F per NWS Miami advisories. Recent overnight model runs show tightening around 91-93°F peaks during afternoon hours, above May climatological averages of 86°F, amplified by Miami's urban heat island effect. New 12Z forecasts today and KMIA observations tomorrow could shift odds amid inherent model spread of ±2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$12,750Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 92-93°F (41%) and 90-91°F (31%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 2, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent ridge of high pressure aloft. This setup fosters subsidence—sinking air that caps clouds and maximizes daytime heating—with south-southeast winds advecting warm, humid Gulf air, yielding heat indices near 102-105°F per NWS Miami advisories. Recent overnight model runs show tightening around 91-93°F peaks during afternoon hours, above May climatological averages of 86°F, amplified by Miami's urban heat island effect. New 12Z forecasts today and KMIA observations tomorrow could shift odds amid inherent model spread of ±2°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,750Fecha de finalización
2 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 92-93°F (41%) and 90-91°F (31%) as Miami's highest temperature on May 2, driven by National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent ridge of high pressure aloft. This setup fosters subsidence—sinking air that caps clouds and maximizes daytime heating—with south-southeast winds advecting warm, humid Gulf air, yielding heat indices near 102-105°F per NWS Miami advisories. Recent overnight model runs show tightening around 91-93°F peaks during afternoon hours, above May climatological averages of 86°F, amplified by Miami's urban heat island effect. New 12Z forecasts today and KMIA observations tomorrow could shift odds amid inherent model spread of ±2°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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