National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 4 show a high temperature hovering near 67-68°F amid persistent showers and cloudy skies from a recent cool front bringing heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across southeast Texas over the past 48 hours. This model consensus from NOAA's short-range guidance reflects suppressed heating due to overcast conditions, northeast winds, and high humidity, positioning the 68°F or higher outcome at 53% implied probability as traders weigh slight upside potential from partial clearing against baseline climatological averages of 83°F for early May. Lower bins carry minimal odds given no signals for sub-60°F extremes, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of afternoon updates from the 12Z GFS and European models.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 4?
68°F or higher 99.6%
50-51°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
68°F or higher 99.6%
50-51°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 may 2026
49°F or below
$790 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$816 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$493 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$480 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$480 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$480 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$493 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$493 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$493 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$715 Vol.
<1%
68°F or higher
$4,232 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 4 show a high temperature hovering near 67-68°F amid persistent showers and cloudy skies from a recent cool front bringing heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across southeast Texas over the past 48 hours. This model consensus from NOAA's short-range guidance reflects suppressed heating due to overcast conditions, northeast winds, and high humidity, positioning the 68°F or higher outcome at 53% implied probability as traders weigh slight upside potential from partial clearing against baseline climatological averages of 83°F for early May. Lower bins carry minimal odds given no signals for sub-60°F extremes, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of afternoon updates from the 12Z GFS and European models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$8,990Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 4 show a high temperature hovering near 67-68°F amid persistent showers and cloudy skies from a recent cool front bringing heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across southeast Texas over the past 48 hours. This model consensus from NOAA's short-range guidance reflects suppressed heating due to overcast conditions, northeast winds, and high humidity, positioning the 68°F or higher outcome at 53% implied probability as traders weigh slight upside potential from partial clearing against baseline climatological averages of 83°F for early May. Lower bins carry minimal odds given no signals for sub-60°F extremes, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of afternoon updates from the 12Z GFS and European models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,990Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on May 4 show a high temperature hovering near 67-68°F amid persistent showers and cloudy skies from a recent cool front bringing heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across southeast Texas over the past 48 hours. This model consensus from NOAA's short-range guidance reflects suppressed heating due to overcast conditions, northeast winds, and high humidity, positioning the 68°F or higher outcome at 53% implied probability as traders weigh slight upside potential from partial clearing against baseline climatological averages of 83°F for early May. Lower bins carry minimal odds given no signals for sub-60°F extremes, though inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of afternoon updates from the 12Z GFS and European models.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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